CFA Society New York SmartBrief
Bond traders see bigger rate cuts as labor market cools
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September 17, 2025
 
 
CFANY SmartBrief
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Fed poised to cut rates amid labor market strain
The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates by a quarter percentage point today to support a weakening US labor market, signaling a shift in policy after months of holding rates steady due to inflation concerns. Economists anticipate two rate reductions in 2025, but officials are divided over how aggressively to cut, as inflation remains above target while job growth has slowed.
Full Story: Bloomberg (9/17), CNBC (9/16), The Wall Street Journal (9/16)
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As 2025 winds down, uncover five fixed income trends to help you make the most of current market opportunities.
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Industry Update
 
Bid to end quarterly reports faces investor pushback
Institutional investors, including pension funds, hedge funds, and asset managers, are expected to strongly oppose President Donald Trump's proposal to end quarterly earnings reports. Many rely on frequent disclosures to closely monitor company performance and manage risk. Investors argue that quarterly updates are essential for tracking developments and making informed decisions, especially during volatile periods.
Full Story: The Wall Street Journal (9/16)
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Bond traders see bigger rate cuts as labor market cools
Bond traders are increasingly expecting at least one half-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve before the end of the year, spurred by a cooling labor market and concerns about economic weakness. While a quarter-point cut is widely expected at the upcoming meeting, notable options and futures trading activity reflects hedging against the possibility of more aggressive easing, particularly around the December policy decision.
Full Story: Bloomberg (9/16), Barron's (9/17)
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Dollar nears 2022 low ahead of Fed meeting
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index has dropped for a third consecutive day, reaching its lowest level since March 2022, as traders anticipate the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates. The euro and yen have strengthened against the dollar, with the euro reaching a four-year high.
Full Story: Bloomberg (9/17)
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US launches review of Mexico, Canada trade agreement
The US has begun the formal review process for the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, inviting public comments over the next 45 days. The review will culminate in reports to Congress evaluating the deal's effectiveness and outlining possible changes or the US position on extending the agreement. The process is expected to be contentious, given the current trade climate and the looming 2026 mandatory joint review deadline.
Full Story: Axios (9/17), The Globe and Mail (Toronto) (tiered subscription model) (9/17), Financial Times (9/17)
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The first-ever Mini Futures on EU Government Bonds
Listed on Euronext Derivatives Milan, the contracts will provide greater flexibility and accessibility to hedge and take exposure to main European government bonds, including 10-year BTP, OAT, Bund and Bono; brand-new 30-year BTP. Discover Mini Bond Futures.
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New York Focus
 
2 measles cases linked to exposures in Manhattan
 
Illustration of the measles morbillivirus. This contagious virus belongs to the Paramyxoviridae family and causes measles
(Ruslanas Baranauskas/science Photo Library/Getty Images)
The New York City Health Department has issued a warning about potential measles exposure in the Lower East Side and SoHo areas of Manhattan. Two cases have been confirmed and, while the overall public risk is low due to high vaccination rates, unvaccinated individuals or those with underlying health issues who were in the affected areas are at higher risk. The city has recorded 13 measles cases this year amid a broader increase in the US and globally.
Full Story: WNBC-TV (New York City) (9/15), Patch/New York (9/15)
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NYC's Asian-American wine bars challenge pairing traditions
 
A group of individuals sharing a variety of sushi dishes at a restaurant. A vibrant atmosphere of social dining with chopsticks.
(Riska/Getty Images)
A new generation of Asian-American wine bars in New York City is redefining how wine pairs with Asian cuisine. Rather than relying solely on riesling, these bars -- including Lei, Sunn's, Tolo and Lai Rai -- curate diverse wine lists that match the complexity and regional variety of their dishes. This movement encourages diners to explore classic and unconventional pairings, positioning wine as a central part of the Asian dining experience.
Full Story: VinePair (9/11)
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Secure Your Salesforce Workflows
Join Salesforce and WithSecure on September 25th to learn how WithSecure helps you identify security risks and close security gaps with a native, in-platform solution. In this 45-minute session, you'll uncover typically overlooked security risks using WithSecure's insights, seamlessly close gaps with its in-platform solutions, and equip yourself with crucial tools to secure workflows. Register now!
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Career Development
 
8 strategies help women lead teams through uncertainty
Adaptive leadership strategies are vital for female leaders guiding their companies through unpredictable times, writes Maria Doughty, the president and CEO of The Chicago Network, who underscores how intentionality and adaptability are essential for responding to challenges such as economic shifts or organizational changes. Doughty offers eight ways to practice adaptive leadership, including leading with calm empathy, showing both strength and vulnerability strategically and engaging in self-care to ease stress.
Full Story: SmartBrief/Leadership (9/5)
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