A New Mexico State University astronomer and her team can now predict space weather in the sweet spot between two extremes of current methods that provide warnings of solar flares that can significantly impact our daily lives. Currently, the predictions either provide a few hours to a few days’ notice or … about 11 years notice.

Instead, Juie Shetye and Mausumi Dikpati’s new AI/ML method can provide notice of disruptive solar flares within a year. Their paper, titled "Analysis of Short-term Solar Activity Variability and Estimating Timings of Next Enhanced Bursts," will be published in the Oct. 14 edition of The Astrophysical Journal.