Modern Money SmartBrief
Plus, Fed balance sheet size a key issue in chair race
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November 14, 2025
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Trump plans tariff cuts, trade deals to lower food prices
President Donald Trump is preparing significant tariff cuts and new trade deals to address high food prices. The administration has announced framework agreements with Argentina, Guatemala, El Salvador and Ecuador to reduce tariffs on items such as beef, bananas and coffee beans.
Full Story: USA Today (11/13), Bloomberg (11/13), Reuters (11/13)
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Investors shift from tech stocks as rate cut hopes waver
US stocks suffered their worst day in a month as the relief from the end of the government shutdown faded, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 1.7% each and the Nasdaq Composite falling 2.3%. Investors are now worried about a deluge of delayed economic data potentially affecting market stability and the likelihood of an interest rate cut in December, which has dropped to 50%.
Full Story: The Wall Street Journal (11/13), Bloomberg (11/13), CNN (11/13)
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Doubts rise among Fed officials about Dec. rate cut
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari remains undecided about supporting a rate cut at the Federal Reserve's December meeting. Citing unexpectedly strong economic activity and ongoing resilience, Kashkari explained that recent data does not clearly support another cut, but also does not rule one out. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly also expressed uncertainty, although Boston Fed President Susan Collins and other officials advocated for holding rates steady to balance inflation and labor market weakness.
Full Story: Bloomberg (11/13), Reuters (11/13), FXStreet (11/13)
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AI is the Future of Commerce. Stay Ahead.
AI isn't hype anymore—it's here. Join EPAM, Stripe, and commercetools to learn how to harness AI—responsibly and effectively. See how AI is reshaping the shopper journey, and learn why composability is key to doing it right. The brands moving first are already winning. Register now!
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Fed balance sheet size a key issue in chair race
Top contenders to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell under President Trump are coalescing around a push to limit the Fed's balance-sheet footprint, even as Trump himself has historically favored aggressive easing. Candidates including Kevin Warsh and Michelle Bowman have argued for curbing quantitative easing, highlighting a growing GOP debate over whether the next Fed chief should reduce the central bank's market influence or preserve maximum firepower in future downturns.
Full Story: Politico (11/13), Bloomberg (11/13)
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Bitcoin ETFs log heavy outflows as sell-off spirals
US-listed spot bitcoin ETFs saw $869 million in outflows Thursday, their second-largest on record, as bitcoin fell below $100,000 and market risk aversion increased. The funds have lost $2.64 billion over the past three weeks, with ether ETFs also seeing their biggest withdrawal in a month.
Full Story: CoinDesk (UK) (11/14), Bloomberg (11/13), MarketWatch (tiered subscription model) (11/13)
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Fanatics, Crypto.com reportedly mull prediction market
Fanatics is reportedly in early talks with Crypto.com to launch a prediction market platform, a move that would expand the sports merchandising group into a fast-growing sector spanning sports, politics, and entertainment. The effort comes as Fanatics accelerates its global expansion and follows similar moves by industry players, including Flutter's new partnership with CME Group.
Full Story: Financial Times (11/14)
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Citi accelerates expansion in China
Citigroup is experiencing rapid growth in China, driven by renewed interest from investors and companies, CEO Jane Fraser says. The bank focuses on serving Chinese companies expanding overseas and clients with cross-border needs, Fraser says, adding that Citigroup's balance sheet remains strong amid recent challenges in the US financial sector.
Full Story: Bloomberg (11/14)
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Retail Evolution: Mobile Tech’s Impact
Facing labor gaps and high customer demands, retailers can innovate operations with mobile technology—enabling real-time insights, contactless payments, digital receipts, and loyalty programs. Dive into this paper to see how mobile solutions can enhance retail operations and engage shoppers.
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Data, Data and More Data
 
 
US convertible bond sales hit record $108.7B in 2025
Bloomberg (11/13)
 
 
Natural gas prices rise due to cold weather, LNG exports
The Wall Street Journal (11/13)
 
 
Wheat hits 4-month high after Novorossiysk port attack
Bloomberg (11/14)
 
Make every purchase feel effortless
Today's shoppers expect a smooth journey from browsing to checkout, no matter if they are in-store, online or both. Our customer experience guide explores how you, the retailer, can simplify the purchase process, reduce friction, and create shopper confidence. Read the guide.
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