The latest from CFR’s RealEcon Initiative
RealEcon

Reimagining American Economic Leadership

CFR Task Force Panel

Winning the Race for Tomorrow’s Technologies

Leading in artificial intelligence, quantum, and biotechnology will bolster national security and allow the United States to shape global rules and standards in competition with China. CFR’s new Task Force Report by former Deputy Secretary of the Treasury Justin G. Muzinich, former Secretary of Commerce Gina M. Raimondo, CEO of Lockheed Martin James D. Taiclet, and CFR Fellow Jonathan E. Hillman, explains how. Explore their recommendations

Event: U.S. Economic Security Winning the Race for Tomorrow’s Technologies

Trade Beyond Tariffs

CFR President Michael Froman analyzes the big picture of a trade strategy that may be emerging. Read his take

U.S. President Donald Trump and Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim sign trade deal documents during a bilateral meeting during the 47th Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) summit in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, October 26, 2025. Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters

Trade Fun Fact 

How dependent is the United States on China for rare earths? 

Answer at the bottom of the newsletter

Also on Trade

North American Leaders ‘Take a Deep Breath’ Ahead of USMCA Review

Government tensions have upended the economic relationships between the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Despite this, public- and private-sector North American members of the Trilateral Commission appeared committed to finding a path forward, writes CFR Fellow Rebecca Patterson. Read the brief

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum walk to a press conference at Palacio Nacional in Mexico City, Mexico, September 18, 2025. Manuel Velasquez/Getty Images

Free Trade Can’t Bring Peace

For decades, the liberal belief that open trade fosters peace has shaped US foreign policy. It worked while US security guarantees held the system together, but as those commitments weaken and new powers assert themselves, the multilateral trading order is rapidly coming undone, writes CFR Fellow Benn Steil. Read the article

A worker is seen next to the Maersk's Triple-E giant container ship Maersk Majestic, one of the world's largest container ships, in part of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone, in Shanghai, China, on September 24, 2016. Aly Song/Reuters

Featured from the Greenberg Center

It’s Time for China to Let the Renminbi Appreciate Sharply

The renminbi is hugely undervalued. This is an impediment to tackling China’s enormous current account surplus and the leadership’s stated desire of boosting domestic demand. Instead of managing the currency tightly against the dollar, it is high time for the authorities to promote strong appreciation against the dollar and on a trade-weighted basis, argue CFR Fellow Brad W. Setser and US Chairman Mark Sobel. Read their take

China's Renminbi

China’s Massive Surplus Is Everywhere (Yet the IMF Still Has Trouble Seeing It Clearly)

China’s reported current account surplus understates China’s contribution to global trade imbalances. The massive gap between China’s export and import volume growth over the last six years tells a more accurate story, Setser demonstrates. See the data 

 

Custom Goods Trade Graph

How I Got My Career in Foreign Policy: Inu Manak

Inu Manak has explored the intricacies of international trade policy in the world of academia and think tanks. She chatted with CFR about navigating different work environments and the benefits of developing a niche expertise. Read more

 

Inu Manak: Career Chat

Are We Ready? | The U.S.-China Chip War

Chris McGuire, senior fellow for China and emerging technologies at the Council, sits down with James M. Lindsay to discuss whether U.S. efforts to deny China advanced semiconductor chips will sustain the U.S. lead in artificial intelligence or unintentionally accelerate Chinese innovation.

Listen

In the News

Rebecca Patterson wrote This Is How Our Economy Comes Crashing Down (New York Times) 

 

Shannon O’Neil featured in U.S. Supply Chain Insecurity (Bloomberg Television) 

 

William Henagan and Brad Setser quoted in The U.S. Has Warned Others to Avoid Loans From Chinese State Banks. But It's the Biggest Recipient of All (The Washington Post)  

 

Gina M. Raimondo featured in U.S. Must Lead in AI, Quantum, and Biotech to Outcompete China

(Squawk Box)

 

Inu Manak featured in The Role of USMCA in Great Power Competition (Washington International Trade Association) 

 

Heidi Crebo-Rediker quoted in Leaders Call for More Collaboration in Cyberspace

(The Guardian)

Past CFR Events 

CFR Task Force Report: U.S. Economic Security—Winning the Race for Tomorrow’s Technologies (November 13) with former Secretary of Commerce Gina M. Raimondo; former Deputy Secretary of the Treasury Justin G. Muzinich; Chairman, President, and CEO of Lockheed Martin James D. Taiclet; CFR Fellow and Project Director Jonathan E. Hillman; CFR President Michael Froman, and Chief Economics Commentator and Deputy Editor at Wall Street Journal, Greg Ip (presider). 

 

The Rules of AI: Governing Technology in a Geopolitical Age (November 21) with Professor and Endowed Chair in Technology, Ethics, and Society at Georgetown University, Laura DeNardis; CFR Senior Fellow for AI Vinh Nguyen; President and Chief Executive Officer at EqualAI, Miriam Vogel; and Maryam Mujica, chief public policy officer at General Catalyst (presider).