A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

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Morning Bid Europe

Morning Bid Europe

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

By Ankur Banerjee, Asia Finance & Markets Breaking News Correspondent

 
 

Data refreshes every time you open this email. For more European market news, click here. Please send any feedback to morningbid@thomsonreuters.com.

On perhaps the slowest trading day of the year, investors are dealing with an outage on CME Group platform affecting currencies, commodities and equities futures, spicing up what has so far been a tepid session.

While traders are able to execute trades on other platforms, CME Group's platforms are popular in the currency world. Conflicting comments have flooded the newsroom so far from the trading floor. It's either a "nightmare" or everyone needs to "calm down".

 

Today's Market News

  • Asian shares end tough November on firmer ground helped by Fed cut bets
  • Central bank body BIS warns of hedge fund leverage in government bond markets
  • Bank of England's Greene says budget energy measures may help lower price expectations
  • MSC, BlackRock bid for Hutchison's Barcelona terminal faces EU probe, source says
 

Doves, turkeys and gremlins

CME Group Inc logo is seen displayed in this illustration taken April 10, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

If the outage stretches well into European hours, expect people to get more concerned especially those looking to square their month-end books.

A month that brought fears over AI bubble to the fore is coming to an end with investors shrugging off those worries for now, choosing instead to get excited about the prospect of an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month.

That has left stocks generally upbeat this week although still on course for a monthly decline, while the U.S. dollar is headed for its worst week in four months as markets convince themselves that a rate cut is coming.

With the U.S. markets closed for the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday and set for a short trading session on Friday, investors are unlikely to place major bets (an outage may help with that too).

The economic calendar includes inflation data for France and Germany and traders will be interested in seeing where prices are headed but for now markets are focused on what the Fed is going to do next.

Traders have priced in an 85% chance of a cut in December, compared with 39% a week earlier, CME FedWatch showed. Now the pricing has switched because of the dovish tone from some of the policymakers. Who's to say it won't change if hawks come out?

 

Graphics are produced by Reuters.

 

Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:

  • Economic events: Germany import and export data for October, November inflation data for France and Germany
 
 

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

 

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