OPEC freezes output hikes

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Power Up

Power Up

 

A Reuters Open Interest newsletter

By Ron Bousso, ROI Energy Columnist

 
 

Data refreshes every time you open this email. For more energy news, click here. Please send any feedback to powerup@thomsonreuters.com.

Hello Power Up readers, 

Energy markets were rocked by a series of Ukrainian drone attacks on the Russian oil assets in the Black Sea over the weekend that led to a sharp rise in crude prices. First, a strike on the port of Novorossiysk damaged one of three mooring points at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) terminal, through which more than 1% of global supplies are exported. Analysts at Energy Aspects said shipments from the terminal have been halved as a result of the attacks. The picture has been complicated by the fact that the vast majority of CPC exports come from fields owned by large U.S. and European companies in Kazakhstan, which has limited alternatives to get its oil to the international market. Indeed, Kazakhstan urged Ukraine to halt attacks on the CPC terminal. 

Ukrainian naval drones also severely damaged two sanctioned tankers in the Black Sea as they headed to Novorossiysk to load up with oil destined for foreign markets. Images showed the tankers in flames with dark plumes of smoke while Ukraine’s security services released videos showing naval drones speeding towards tankers. 

These attacks suggest Kyiv might be seeking to expand attacks on Russian energy infrastructure that provides vital revenue to the Kremlin after already targeting dozens of refineries and other facilities in recent months. 

Also on Sunday, OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, agreed to leave oil output levels unchanged for the first quarter of 2026. My colleague ROI Asia Commodities Columnist Clyde Russell wrote that the decision highlights growing uncertainty in the market amid signs of a looming oversupply. 

I had a look at how Europe is slowly reviving oil and gas drilling after years of climate-driven resistance. 

Here are a few more headlines: 

  • Global commodity trading house Gunvor's CEO Torbjorn Tornqvist will step down and sell his full shareholding in a management buyout, weeks after the U.S. dubbed the firm the "Kremlin's puppet" over its past Russian links. 
  • Harbour Energy, a North Sea-focused producer, said on Monday it expected to cut 100 offshore jobs as part of an organisational review of its UK business. It follows the British government’s budget announcement last week which maintained tough tax requirements on oil and gas producers. 
  • The British government has decided to end UK Export Finance's support for the TotalEnergies-led Mozambique Liquefied Natural Gas project, it said on Monday.

I love to get your thoughts and comments, so don’t hesitate to contact me at ron.bousso@thomsonreuters.com or follow me on LinkedIn.

 
 

Top energy headlines

  • Oil climbs over $1 a barrel on OPEC action, Ukraine attack
  • Alberta oil regulator stopped enforcing gas flaring limits after government pressure, documents show   
  • BP's Olympic Pipeline resumes full operations after Washington leak
  • US LNG exports hit record high in November on cooler weather, strong output
  • Gunvor managers buy out CEO Tornqvist as company seeks 'definitive reset'
 
 

A drilling comeback

European countries are loosening their strict opposition to new oil and gas drilling, reversing years of climate-driven resistance to fossil fuels as governments seek to reduce a heavy reliance on costly energy imports, including from the U.S. 

The change in tack in Greece, Italy and Britain reflects a new paradigm shaped by the 2022 energy price shock: an acceptance that fossil fuels - natural gas in particular - will remain a key part of the energy mix for decades, even as the region also builds out renewables capacity to slash greenhouse gas emissions. 

The European Union depends on gas imports for 85% of its consumption, opens new tab, according to Eurostat, compared with a peak domestic production of 50% of demand in the 1990s. 

Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Europe was forced to replace at a huge cost its reliance on pipeline Russian oil and gas with imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and crude, primarily from the U.S., which today accounts for 16.5% of the EU's total gas consumption. 

Developing new domestic production would therefore allow Europe to reduce its reliance on gas imports and potentially benefit from lower energy costs. 

The change is stark in Greece, which in November issued its first offshore oil and gas exploration licence in over four decades to a consortium of Exxon Mobil, Energean and Helleniq Energy. 

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