What matters in U.S. and global markets today

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Morning Bid U.S.

Morning Bid U.S.

A Reuters Open Interest newsletter

What matters in U.S. and global markets today

 

By Marc Jones, senior global markets correspondent

The news overload since the start of the year shows no sign of letting up, with markets starting to search for the motion sickness tablets.

Donald's Trump's pledge to Iranian protestors that "help is on its way" has sent gold and silver to new highs. Meanwhile, the Supreme Court could rule on Trump's tariffs today, another trio of Wall Street banks is reporting earnings, and currency markets are back on yen-intervention watch as the prospect of a snap election next month turbocharges the so-called "Takaichi trade".

Finally, U.S. retail sales arrive just as Saks Fifth Avenue's owner files for bankruptcy.

I’ll get into all that and more below.

But first check out Mike Dolan’s latest column below on some of the contradictions in the Trump administration's plans to make buying a house more affordable.

 
 

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Today's Market Minute

  • High-end department store conglomerate Saks Global filed for bankruptcy protection late on Tuesday in one of the largest retail collapses since the pandemic.
  • Tehran has warned U.S. allies in the Middle East it will strike U.S. bases on their soil if Washington attacks Iran, a senior Iranian official told Reuters on Wednesday.
  • China posted a record trade surplus of nearly $1.2 trillion in 2025 amid soaring exports to non-U.S. markets in Southeast Asia, Africa and Latin America.
  • President Donald Trump’s bid to ignite American industry with cheap oil and gas is a high‑stakes gamble that, win or lose, will leave China the world’s leading low‑carbon technology powerhouse, argues ROI Energy Columnist Ron Bousso.
  • Meta's 2025 acquisition of Manus, a Chinese-founded AI startup, challenges the widespread narrative of US-China tech decoupling and could signal a new modus operandi in AI’s future focused on talent acquisition, writes Fidelity International’s Taosha Wang.
 

Shop till you drop

The myriad of geopolitical tensions has propelled silver to $90 per ounce for the first time - the metal has surged nearly 30% in the first nine trading days of the year. Gold prices have also climbed to yet another record, with $5,000 an ounce the next obvious target for traders to fixate on.

In addition to concern over the next steps in Iran, there are talks later in the day involving the foreign ministers of Greenland and Denmark and U.S. Vice President JD Vance alongside Secretary of State Marco Rubio at the White House. Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner and envoy Steve Witkoff plan to travel to Moscow soon to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin, according to reports.

For Wall Street, Citigroup, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo are all reporting earnings. S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow futures prices are fractionally lower right now, and it has been a bit of a tough run for financials this week. Trump's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% has sent plenty of share prices lower, while the biggest of the big guns, JPMorgan, suffered a more than 4% tumble on Tuesday as its investment banking fees caused disappointment.

Elsewhere, investors have mostly looked past China reporting a record trade surplus of nearly $1.2 trillion in 2025, led by booming exports to non-U.S. markets.

Focus has been heavily on the yen instead, with Japan's finance minister sending another explicit intervention warning after the currency hit an 18-month low as a weak bond sale compounded the pressure of the snap election.

And to round things off, there's a packed schedule of Federal Reserve speakers later, including Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson, Trump appointee Stephen Miran, Minneapolis Fed's Neel Kashkari, Atlanta Fed's Raphael Bostic and the New York Fed's John Williams. That could all make very interesting viewing after this week's move by the Trump administration to investigate Fed chief Jerome Powell over the costly refurbishment of the central bank's headquarters. 

 

Trump's mortgage foray at odds with aggravating Treasuries: Mike Dolan

If housing affordability is a priority for U.S. President Donald Trump in an election year, the contradictions in his administration's frenetic new year policy push seem a strange way of getting results.

Last week's plan to get federal housing agencies on a $200 billion buying spree of mortgage bonds looks unlikely to get mortgage rates down further by itself, according to many banks. And a fresh challenge to Federal Reserve independence potentially complicates efforts to push benchmark long-term Treasury yields lower.

 

Graphics are produced by Reuters.

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