| Here’s what we know, in order: Jan. 31: Texas 18th Congressional District - How we got here: First-term Rep. Sylvester Turner (D) died in March after serving only a few months.
- Paul Kane’s take: This district, anchored in Houston, favored former vice president Kamala Harris by 40 percentage points over President Donald Trump. So it’s not surprising that two Democrats have advanced to the Jan. 31 runoff to determine who will fill the remaining 11 months of Turner’s term: Amanda Edwards, a former Houston city council member, and Harris County Attorney Christian Menefee.
April 16: New Jersey 11th Congressional District - How we got here: Fourth-term Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D) resigned after winning New Jersey’s gubernatorial race in November.
- Paul Kane’s take: The suburban district has a slight Democratic tilt in presidential races, but Sherrill regularly won reelection there by 15 or more points. Republicans have not shown signs of investing heavily in the race.
March 10: Georgia 14th Congressional District - How we got here: Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) resigned earlier this month, in the middle of her third term, after a public falling-out with President Donald Trump.
- Paul Kane’s take: Voters will have a “jungle primary,” in which all candidates from every party are on the same ballot. If no one gets more than 50 percent, the top two vote-getters advance to an April 7 runoff. Greene won this district by about 30 points in recent elections, all but guaranteeing a GOP victory.
TBD: California 1st Congressional District - How we got here: Seventh-term Rep. Doug LaMalfa (R) died Jan. 6. He had represented a district that encompassed much of Northern California’s interior since 2013.
- Paul Kane’s take: California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) has yet to officially schedule the special election. We could get that news this coming week. LaMalfa regularly won the district by about 30 points, and Republicans should win that special election. But a new California law will redraw districts for the November elections in a way that dramatically makes this district more favorable for Democrats.
I also heard from Scott Clement, The Post’s polling director, who shared numbers that supported Paul’s analysis. He noted that the Cook Political Report 2025 partisan voting index ratings had the Texas district at D+21; New Jersey at D+5; Georgia at R+19; and California at R+12. Regardless of who wins, we could soon hit a milestone. If there are no more deaths or resignations, and California holds a special election, the House would hit its full allotment of 435 members for the first time in the 119th Congress. What else to know Thanks again to Paul Kane — our first return guest here at The 7 Weekend Edition. You can follow him on X at @pkcapitol and Bluesky at @pkcapitol. Keep your questions coming: If you have questions about the news and other stories you’ve seen in The 7, send them here. We’ll find the right person to answer them for another weekend edition of The 7. Keep reading Each weekend, The 7 team shares our favorite recent Post stories with you.  | Hannah Jewell | Travel reporter Natalie Compton took a deep dive into Marriott’s failure to achieve its pledge to use only cage-free eggs in its hotels — the backlash has been quite dramatic. Animal welfare activists around the world aren’t letting the company forget about it.  | Izin Akhabau | Thanks to some work from columnist Andrew Van Dam, you can see which jobs have grown (and declined) fastest during your working life.  | Jamie Ross | I’ll stop sharing dog stories when they stop being brilliant — so, never. You’ll love this one about Indy the retriever who won an acting award this month, beating five Hollywood stars.  | John Taylor | If ever a story screamed “this is a John Taylor story,” it’s this one, about the man who voted for both George Washington — the first U.S. president — and Abraham Lincoln, No. 16. If you’re scratching your head about how that’s possible, your answer awaits inside. |
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