A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

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Morning Bid Europe

Morning Bid Europe

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

By Stella Qiu, Australia Economics & Markets Correspondent

 
 

Data refreshes every time you open this email. For more European market news, click here. Please send any feedback to morningbid@thomsonreuters.com.

It takes one to start a war, but two to make peace. President Donald Trump may be talking about a war already won, but someone forgot to send Iran ‌the memo as Tehran steps up attacks on ships in the Gulf waters, warning the world of oil prices at $200 a barrel.

Oil's reaction to a record release plan from the International Energy Agency is telling.

Four hundred million barrels is only around 20 days of the supply that has been lost, so clearly investors are more worried about the prospect of a lengthy blow to ⁠supply than what Trump says.

 

Today's Market News

  • Shares skid, oil surges above $100 a barrel as Iran attacks Gulf shipping
  • UK home buyer sentiment hit by worries stemming from Middle East conflict, RICS says
  • Trading Day: Oil and yields up, up, and away
  • Czech lawmakers approve new 2026 budget with rising deficit, defence cuts
 

Looking 'strongly at the straits'

Tankers sail in the Gulf, near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from northern Ras al-Khaimah, near the border with Oman’s Musandam governance, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in United Arab Emirates, March 11, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo

Two fuel tankers are burning in Iraqi waters after being attacked by Iran's explosive-laden boats, forcing the country's oil ports to halt operations. Oman has reportedly cleared all vessels out of its main oil export terminal, taking no chances.

That was enough to send Brent crude futures back above $100, up nearly 9% at $100.07, having hit as high as $119.5 earlier this week. U.S. crude also gained 8% to $94.25.

When asked about the war, Trump said the U.S. was "going to look very strongly at the straits."

Share markets did not take it well. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell ‌1.6% to ⁠snap two days of consecutive gains. Japan's Nikkei dropped 1.7%.

Both S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures fell 1%. Over in Europe, EUROSTOXX 50 futures slipped 1.1%.

All of that will be inflationary, prompting bond markets to raise borrowing costs worldwide. Forget about rate cuts.

Of the five central banks meeting next week in the United ⁠States, Europe, Britain, Australia and Canada, traders bet none will be easing and one - Australia - will be hiking.

Two-year U.S. Treasury yields hit the highest since August, while the 10-year was still suffering from a poor auction. All ⁠eyes are now on the auction of 30-year bonds later today. After all, who would want to lock in yields now, when inflation is threatening to eat your future returns?

Graphics are produced by Reuters.

 

Graphics are produced by Reuters.

 
 

Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:

  • 30-year US bond auctions
  • US trade data for January, initial jobless claims
  • Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman speaking
 
 

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

 

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