Markets capped a volatile week with a decisive shift toward risk-on sentiment, driven by easing geopolitical tensions and a sharp decline in oil prices following the reopening of a critical global energy corridor.

Top takeaways for the week, written by the Quant Team

Key Shifts You Can't Miss

  • Markets surged as easing geopolitical tensions drove a sharp drop in crude, boosting sentiment and pushing major indexes to record highs.
  • Investor sentiment flipped rapidly from fear to greed, closely tracking oil’s decline, while falling inflation expectations revived hopes for rate cuts and supported growth-oriented sectors.
  • A busy earnings week ahead and ongoing geopolitical negotiations will be key, with sustained energy flow normalization critical to maintaining bullish momentum and supporting further market upside.
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The Alpha Picks portfolio reached a new record high this week, and is currently +341% vs. the S&P 500's +88% since launch in 2022.*  Discover how it works »

 

Investor Sentiment Moved From 'Extreme Fear' to 'Greed' in 10 Days

Chart

Source: CNN Fear & Greed Index, April 17, 2026

 

Oil Prices Plunge, Stocks Gain on Strait Opening News

Markets surged this week as a pivotal geopolitical development reshaped investor sentiment. The announced reopening of the Strait of Hormuz marked a major step toward de-escalation in the Middle East, with ongoing negotiations fueling optimism that a broader resolution may be closer than previously expected. The immediate impact was most visible in energy markets, where oil prices plunged roughly 14% intraday, briefly nearing $80 per barrel, down sharply from nearly $120 just ten days ago at peak tensions...

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Trending Analysis From The Quant Team

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We'll continue to track the trends that matter most and bring you clear, informative insights every week. Until then, wishing you a productive and profitable week ahead.

 

- Steven Cress and the Seeking Alpha Quant Team

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*Performance between July 1, 2022 and April 17, 2026.

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