SIFMA SmartBrief
Consumer price index climbs 3.8% in April from prior year | Traders boost bets on Fed hike amid inflation concerns | JPMorgan expands tokenized fund push
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May 13, 2026
 
 
SIFMA SmartBrief
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Morning Bell
 
Wall Street's long-term inflation expectations rise to 2.7%
Wall Street is increasingly concerned about long-term inflation as expectations rise, with the five-year break-even rate reaching 2.7% and the 10-year rate hitting 2.5%. The latest consumer price index release has exacerbated these worries, leading to a decline in tech stocks and a rise in Treasury yields. The surge in inflation expectations is primarily driven by higher oil prices, posing challenges for the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy.
Full Story: The Wall Street Journal (5/12)
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Consumer price index climbs 3.8% in April from prior year
CNBC (5/12), The Wall Street Journal (5/12)
 
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Industry News
 
Traders boost bets on Fed hike amid inflation concerns
Bond traders are renewing bearish bets on US Treasuries after April data showed inflation accelerating on higher gasoline and food prices. Derivatives markets are increasingly pricing in the risk of a Federal Reserve rate hike by mid-2027, while positioning data show growing short exposure across the curve. The shift reflects expectations that elevated energy costs could keep inflation higher for longer.
Full Story: Bloomberg (5/12)
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JPMorgan expands tokenized fund push
JPMorgan Chase has filed for a second tokenized money market fund that would issue blockchain-based shares on Ethereum, allowing investors to hold or transfer fund interests digitally and use them as collateral in crypto markets. The move builds on growing Wall Street adoption of tokenized real-world assets, a market that has surged to about $32 billion as firms accelerate blockchain-based fund offerings tied to US regulatory frameworks.
Full Story: Bloomberg (5/12), FXStreet (5/12)
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Rising oil prices push Treasury yields higher
Treasury yields have risen as oil prices surge amid the US-Iran war, raising concerns around inflation. The 30-year yield has reached 5.02%, close to this year's high, while the two-year yield is around 4%.
Full Story: Bloomberg (5/12)
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Japanese investors sell US sovereign bonds amid Fed uncertainty
Bloomberg (5/13)
 
 
CME to launch GPU compute futures market
CNBC (5/12)
 
 
MUFG seeks to shift $2B private-credit risk to investors
Financial Times (5/13)
 
 
Goldman Sachs uses AI to scale up, cut costs
Bloomberg (5/12)
 
 
JPMorgan reshuffles investment bank leadership
Financial Times (5/13)
 
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Policy Roundup
 
Senate confirms Warsh, Fed chair vote imminent
The Senate confirms Kevin Warsh to a 14-year term on the Federal Reserve Board, clearing a key step toward his expected confirmation as Fed chair as early as Wednesday. Warsh succeeds Jerome Powell amid heightened political pressure on the central bank and renewed inflation risks tied to higher oil prices, with markets increasingly questioning prospects for near-term rate cuts.
Full Story: Reuters (5/12), CNBC (5/12), Politico (5/12), American Banker (5/12)
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White House, House GOP at odds on housing bill
President Donald Trump has asked the House to pass the Senate's 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act without amendments, emphasizing a provision that limits Wall Street's ability to buy single-family homes. However, House Republicans are pushing for changes, including a permanent ban on a central bank digital currency and adjustments to the investor restriction language.
Full Story: Politico (5/12), Yahoo (5/12)
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CFTC's Selig draws line between betting, markets
In an interview, CFTC Chair Michael Selig says prediction markets should be regulated as financial markets rather than entertainment, signaling continued federal oversight amid disputes with state gaming regulators. Selig also emphasized the agency's authority to police insider trading and indicated the CFTC may pursue new rulemaking on artificial intelligence as exchanges and market participants seek to deploy AI tools across derivatives markets.
Full Story: Law360 (5/12), Axios (5/12)
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Trump-Xi summit faces challenges from Iran conflict, tariffs
Bloomberg (5/13), Barron's (5/12)
 
 
Fed’s Goolsbee flags services inflation as key concern
Reuters (5/12), Bloomberg (5/12), FXStreet (5/12)