What’s up with extended warranties?
We did the math
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The Recommendation

May 25, 2026

Do you need an extended warranty?

A stack of papers with two dice on top
Vincent Drayne/NYT Wirecutter

It’s a big weekend for big-ticket items. Sales on major home appliances, including mattresses, fridges, and washing machines, abound. (Most are lousy deals, by the way. These are good, though.) Analysts estimate that of everyone shopping Memorial Day discounts, roughly 30% will purchase an extended warranty to go along with it.

Should they be? Probably not. Most people lose a lot of money on them writes Liam McCabe in his latest deep-dive. And yet we fall for them anyway. Let’s break down some of the math, shall we?

A losing gamble:

Over time, for every $100 bet, here’s what you can expect to lose (on average) on …

  • Blackjack: 50 cents
  • Craps: $1.41
  • Quarter slots: $8
  • Extended warranties: more than $70

$373 million

roughly the amount Best Buy reportedly earned from extended warranties last year, accounting for around 40% of its entire net earnings

170 million

— the amount of in-effect protection policies Allstate reported in 2025, which generated $2.8 billion in premium payments from policyholders

Want to learn more about the casino-like business of extended warranties? Take our quiz.

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More deep-dives

One last thing: A message from Liam

Aubrey Patti/NYT Wirecutter
Independent reviews, expert advice and intensively researched deals from Wirecutter experts.

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