Rays relying on their three big guns more than ever before

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Monday, Jun 01, 2026

 

[JEFFEREE WOO | Times]

This is great. It's also a little worrisome

OK, let’s see who’s been paying attention.

Name the last Rays player to hit a home run.

Of course, it was Jonathan Aranda in the first inning of Sunday’s win against the Angels.

And before that? Yandy Diaz. Before that? Aranda. Before that? Diaz. Before that? Diaz.

The point is not that Aranda and Diaz are on hot streaks. That’s pretty self-evident.

No, the interesting thing is the Rays have the most top-heavy lineup in franchise history.

Between them, Junior Caminero, Aranda and Diaz have accounted for 35 of Tampa Bay’s 48 home runs this season. That’s 72.9%, and that’s mind-blowing.

The previous high-water mark for three hitters dominating the Rays lineup was last season, when Caminero, Brandon Lowe and Diaz combined to hit 101 of 182 homers, or 55.4%. The only other time it was remotely that close was in 1999, when Fred McGriff, Jose Canseo and Bubba Trammell (also John Flaherty) combined for 80 of 145 for 55.1%.

The Rays are not on a record pace — sorry, but I don't have the resources to figure out which team relied on three hitters to provide more power — but I do know the heart of the 1927 Yankees lineup (Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig, Tony Lazzeri) accounted for 79.1% of New York’s home runs.

Still, this has the makings of a historic anomaly for a team with the best record in the American League.

In a philosophical sense, the concept is not shocking. The Rays knew Caminero, Diaz and Aranda would carry the lion’s share of the load in 2026. During spring training, team president Erik Neander called them the three aircraft carriers in the middle of the order.

Also, the Rays were shifting their focus to a lineup with more bat control and speed than power.

But did anyone think it would be this extreme?

There are a handful of factors that have gone into this crazy split. First of all, Aranda and Diaz are on pace to hit 31 homers each, which would be career highs for both of them. (Caminero is on pace for 38, which is impressive but a slight step back after 45 last season.)

Also, the Rays have not gotten as much production as they might have expected from free-agent signings Cedric Mullins and Jake Fraley. Mullins has averaged 20 homers every 162 games in his career but has only three in 2026. Fraley has been more of a platoon hitter but has averaged 16 homers every 162 games. He’s hit two so far.

In fact, in the last 13 games, the Rays have gotten exactly two home runs from players not named Caminero, Diaz or Aranda.

Could this eventually bite Tampa Bay in the behind?

It’s hard to say. Rallies are harder to come by against elite pitching in the postseason, so it helps to have sluggers who can score with one swing of the bat.

When the Rays reached the World Series in 2020, they blasted 34 homers in 20 postseason games. Since then, they’ve hit eight homers in eight postseason games and have lost seven of those games. So, yeah, homers come in handy in October.

And yet, the Rays have played small-ball at an elite level in 2026.

They may be 27th in the majors in home runs, but they’re eighth in runs scored per game.

Bottom line? It’s worked so far.

 
 

[JEFFEREE WOO | Times]

How hot has Jonathan Aranda been? Scorching

• Speaking of Jonathan Aranda, he just finished off the best month of his career. Aranda had a .464 on-base percentage and a .560 slugging percentage to give him a 1.024 OPS for May. That’s not the best month in team history (Carlos Pena had a 1.279 in September of 2007), but it got his season back on track after he entered the month with a .220 batting average and a .783 OPS.

• He’s only 26, so it’s too early to give up on Joe Boyle, but his inability to throw strikes is threatening to derail his career.  Given a golden opportunity in the Rays rotation when Ryan Pepiot began the year on the injured list, Boyle had two decent starts before blowing up in his third. That was followed by a minor elbow issue and rehab assignment that has now become his new home at Triple-A Durham. In 13 ⅔ innings at Durham, he’s given up 11 walks and 10 earned runs. Until he’s better able to command his pitches, his career will forever be in limbo.

• How much did Tampa Bay’s recent stumble cost the Rays in the standings? They had a 5 ½-game lead on the Yankees on May 22, and it was down to 1 ½ games by May 27. They maintained the status quo by taking two of three from the Angels, but it would help if they created some distance with the next 12 games against last-place teams (Tigers, Marlins, Red Sox and Angels again).

• The Rays made an interesting depth pickup recently when they signed outfielder Austin Slater to a deal at Durham. He’s 33 and nobody’s idea of a prospect, but Slater was a solid complementary piece for a half-dozen seasons in San Francisco. Since being traded by the Giants to the Reds in the middle of 2024, he’s been on the constant move. Slater has been with nine organizations (Giants, Reds, Orioles, White Sox, Yankees, Tigers, Marlins, Mets and Rays) in less than two years.

— John Romano, sports columnist

 

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