What matters in U.S. and global markets today

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Morning Bid U.S.

Morning Bid U.S.

A Reuters Open Interest newsletter

What matters in U.S. and global markets today

 

By Mike Dolan, Editor-at-Large, Finance & Markets

Oil prices and bond yields have pushed higher as hostilities in the Gulf resume - but you’d be hard pressed to find many signs of concern in AI-obsessed stock markets. Wall Street’s SOX chip index jumped more than 5% on Tuesday as the wider S&P 500 eked out another record closing high, gaining for the ninth straight day.

According to Deutsche Bank, a 10th gain for the S&P 500 on Wednesday would be the longest such streak in more than 30 years.

I’ll get into that and more below.

But first, check out my latest column on the eery calm beneath wild individual stock swings - and why it could be deceptive.

And listen to the latest episode of the Morning Bid daily podcast. Subscribe to hear Reuters journalists discuss the biggest news in markets and finance seven days a week.

 
 

Data refreshes every time you open this email. For more U.S. market news, click here. Please send any feedback to morningbid@thomsonreuters.com.

 

Today's Market Minute

  • Elon Musk's SpaceX plans to fix its IPO price at $135 per share to raise a record-setting $75 billion, according to a Reuters exclusive.
  • Gulf hostilities flared anew on Wednesday, with the U.S. military saying Iranian missile attacks were either thwarted or failed, as diplomacy between Washington and Tehran showed little progress.
  • Microsoft on Tuesday announced a sweeping slate of AI initiatives, from autonomous workplace assistants and gadgets to Nvidia-powered PCs and a new in-house reasoning model.
  • Small caps have undergone a stealth rally amid the AI frenzy, outperforming their mega-cap peers in some sectors. ROI Markets Columnist Jamie McGeever asks whether this can last.
  • Copper is at the heart of the AI investment craze amid the data centre boom, with demand set to rise - but there are still unknowns in that calculation that markets may not be pricing, argues ROI Metals Columnist Andy Home.
 

Quantum leap

The U.S. on Wednesday intercepted Iranian missile attacks in the Gulf and carried out strikes of its own, pushing up Brent crude more than 2% to around $98 per barrel.

Equity markets seemed to take little notice, at least in Asia, where tech-heavy indexes followed Wall Street's example on Wednesday to reach new record highs on the AI theme. Wall Street futures edged down before the bell, however, and European shares dipped in early trading.

Meantime, the yen flirted again with the important 160-per-dollar level as the fresh U.S.-Iran exchanges boosted the greenback. Japanese authorities have spent some $73 billion in yen-buying intervention recently to support the currency after it previously weakened past that point.

Earnings from Broadcom, due out after the bell, will top the tech diary on Wednesday. The chip designer is now a $2 trillion behemoth at the centre of the AI buildout.

IPO excitement continued as more details of SpaceX’s planned blockbuster listing emerged, with the company planning to fix its IPO price at $135 per share to raise a record-setting $75 billion, according to a Reuters exclusive.

Elsewhere, Microsoft claimed it had made a breakthrough in transformative quantum computing with a new quantum chip - redesigned using AI - that aims to make commercially viable quantum machines a possibility within three years.

In the macro world, a big week for jobs data kicked off on Tuesday with an unexpectedly large surge in April job openings. That questions notions of a softening labor market and will keep Fed hawks on watch. ADP’s private sector payrolls for May are due out later, ahead of Friday’s May employment report.

With that, onto today's column.

 
 

Wild stock moves beneath an eerily calm surface

Wild daily swings in individual stocks might suggest a frothy market in the final throes of a speculative frenzy. But Wall Street's "fear gauge" is snoozing. And it may take good news to wake it up.

It's hard not to get dizzy watching the huge individual daily price gains in large-cap stocks lately, as the AI boom appears to heat up, accelerate and draw in more chip and tech equipment names far and ‌wide.

 

 

Graphics are produced by Reuters.