The pharma choke point, the stockpile gap, and the latest in the America at 250 series
Council on Foreign Relations | From the Think Tank

June 18, 2026

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By Shannon K. O’Neil
Senior Vice President of Studies and Maurice R. Greenberg Chair

We’re pleased to highlight the work of CFR’s think tank, the David Rockefeller Studies Program, in this newsletter. 

 

This month, we’re sharing a new book by Linda Robinson that profiles women leaders around the globe; a report warning that the U.S. pharmaceutical supply chain is overly dependent on China; an exploration of potential scenarios if Russia annexes Belarus; and more. In a special America at 250 series, James M. Lindsay has been diving into pivotal foreign policy moments in U.S. history. Our fellows also unpack the Iran deal and have a bit of fun predicting World Cup outcomes. 

 

We recently unveiled a new site for our LEAD AI program that examines the national security implications of artificial intelligence. And we welcomed two new fellows: Sadanand Dhume, who focuses on India, Pakistan, and South Asia, and Stephanie Psaki, who focuses on health security. They join our impressive roster of experts who cover the world’s major regions and critical foreign policy issues.

 

We hope you find the work of our fellows to be of interest. Please be in touch with any thoughts or reactions to our content. 

 

Sincerely, 

Shannon 

 

New Book: Women in Power

Women leaders across the world are confronting the rise of misogyny and antidemocratic forces, and they are not backing down. Linda Robinson profiles women leaders from Moldova to Taiwan in her new CFR Book Women in Power: Fighting for Democracy in an Age of Authoritarianism and lays out how expanding gender equality is essential to combatting ascendant authoritarianism. 

Order the book
Book cover for Women in Power by Linda Robinson

Read: Taking Stock of Trump’s Iran Deal

On Sunday, President Donald Trump announced that a deal with Iran had been completed. Michael Froman, Elliott Abrams, Steven A. Cook, Elisa Ewers, and Ray Takeyh assess the deal: what it achieves, what it defers, and what it means for the region. Read the analysis

Watch: CFR Fellows Pick the World Cup Winner

The beautiful game arrived in North America last week with the start of the 2026 World Cup, which is being hosted in cities throughout the United States, Canada, and Mexico. CFR fellows weigh in on who they think will win it all. Spoiler: lots of love for Germany and Spain!

Watch
Watch: The World Cup According to Foreign Policy Experts
 

Essential Medicines in Peril 

Experts have become increasingly concerned about China’s stranglehold on the global critical minerals supply chain, but the United States is also overly dependent on China in another critical area—its pharmaceutical supply chain. In “The Pharma Choke Point: How to Reduce U.S. Dependence on Chinese Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology Supply Chains,” Thomas J. Bollyky, Rush Doshi, Olivia Kosloff, Prashant Yadav, and Elena Every catalog the current shortcomings of the pharma environment and recommend a replicable framework for policymakers. Read the report

How to Apply the Lessons of the Marshall Plan in 2026

The Marshall Plan is widely considered one of the best U.S. foreign policy decisions in history. As part of the America at 250 series, Benn Steil sits down with James M. Lindsay on The President’s Inbox podcast to discuss how a Republican Congress was persuaded to support an initiative of a Democratic administration, whether the plan can take sole credit for Western Europe’s economic rebound in the late 1940s, and what lessons the United States should take away from the Marshall Plan almost eighty years later. Listen to the episode

A New Weekly Podcast From CFR

The Spillover, hosted by Rebecca Patterson and Sebastian Mallaby, follows the ripple effects of global events across policy, geopolitics, economics, technology, and financial markets.

Apple | Spotify | YouTube

Listen
A New Weekly Podcast from CFR
 

U.S. Stockpile Limitations Threaten American Security  

In “The Stockpile Gap: How America Can Secure the Strategic Materials It Needs to Win,” Jonathan E. Hillman and Ishaan Thakkar cast a critical eye on the United States’ three strategic stockpiles—the health-based Strategic National Stockpile, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and the National Defense Stockpile—and declare them inadequate for modern economic warfare. To truly create a modern stockpile—and prepare for potential armed conflict with China—they recommend creating a fourth stockpile for strategic minerals and expanding private-sector collaboration with the new Project Vault initiative. Read more

Russia Could Annex Belarus. Here’s What the United States Should Do.

Russian Annexation of Belarus cover photo

The relationship between Minsk and Moscow has reached a tipping point, and U.S. policymakers should not ignore the possibility that Russia might decide to annex Belarus within the next two years. In “Russian Annexation of Belarus,” Thomas Graham proposes several preventive measures the United States could take, including normalizing relations with Belarus while keeping backchannel communications open with Russia, and mitigating options, in the event of a coercive seizure—most importantly, strengthening NATO’s deterrent stance along the Russian border. Read more

 

About the David Rockefeller Studies Program

The David Rockefeller Studies Program—CFR’s think tank—analyzes global challenges and offers steps to address them. More than eighty fellows cover the world’s major regions and significant foreign policy issues. CFR produces reports, articles, videos, podcasts, and more for the interested public, the academic community, business leaders, foreign policy experts, and policymakers.

 

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