SIFMA SmartBrief
Fed's Waller open to rate hikes amid persistent inflation | Investors bet on Fed rate hike as 2-year Treasury yield rises | Trading revenue lifts major bank earnings
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July 14, 2026
 
 
SIFMA SmartBrief
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Morning Bell
 
Markets seek clarity on Fed's "reaction function"
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has avoided offering forward guidance on where interest rates may be headed, leaving markets to scrutinize how he would respond as inflation, employment and growth data evolve. "Good communication conveys the Fed's reaction function, which is the relationship between economic conditions and the path of the policy rate. And really that's what's essential," said Richard Berner, a professor at New York University who has served on the Fed's research staff. "That's different from forward guidance."
Full Story: Bloomberg (7/13)
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Fed's Waller open to rate hikes amid persistent inflation
American Banker (7/13), Financial Times (7/13)
 
 
Investors bet on Fed rate hike as 2-year Treasury yield rises
Barron's (7/13)
 
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Industry News
 
Trading revenue lifts major bank earnings
JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs reported earnings before markets opened Tuesday, with strong equities trading revenue helping support results across the largest U.S. banks. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said every major business posted record revenue last quarter and noted that the U.S. economy has shown "notable resiliency this year, with stronger business investment and hiring."
Full Story: MarketWatch (tiered subscription model) (7/14), CNBC (7/14), Bloomberg (7/14), Bloomberg (7/14)
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US small-cap stocks outperform as investors pivot from big tech
Financial Times (7/14)
 
 
Investors still favor human advice despite AI's portfolio success
American Banker (7/13)
 
 
2-year Treasury yield hits 18-month high on rate hike bets
Barron's (7/13)
 
 
US banks expand tokenized deposits initiative
Bloomberg (7/13)
 
 
RBC expands credit derivatives trading amid AI boom
Bloomberg (7/13)
 
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Policy Roundup
 
Fed holds reserve management purchases at $10B
The Federal Reserve will purchase about $10 billion of Treasury bills over the monthly period ending Aug. 13, maintaining the same level as the previous two cycles. The New York Fed's open market desk also plans about $17.6 billion in reinvestment purchases. The purchases are intended to support reserve levels ahead of expected pressure from increased Treasury bill supply and a larger Treasury cash balance.
Full Story: Bloomberg (7/13)
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US sees $120B deficit in June amid tariff refund surge
Reuters (7/13), Bloomberg (7/13), CNBC (7/13)
 
 
Economists expect CPI to ease in June
Barron's (7/13)
 
 
Trump resets clock on Iran War
Politico (7/13)
 
 
ROAD Act's impact on housing market seen as limited
American Banker (7/14)
 
 
GOP planning to advance framework for policy bill on Wednesday
Politico (7/13)
 
 
Lindsey Graham's sister to serve the rest of his term
The Associated Press (7/14), The Wall Street Journal (7/13), The Washington Post (7/13), Axios (7/13)