| US GDP slows, but consumers are still consuming... |
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Expecto Patronum, and happy 46th birthday to the character Harry Potter. Time has done a number on your favorite boy wizard—he’s got a Butterbeer belly and is seeking more from life than just the Snitch. For further reading: - Harry Potter and the Thermostat Adjustment
- Harry Potter and the Signed Text Message
- Harry Potter and the Loud Sigh Before Sitting Down
- Harry Potter and the Forgotten Password
—Sam Klebanov, Dave Lozo, Matty Merritt, Adam Epstein In today’s newsletter, we’ll get into US GDP growth slowing, Jersey Mike’s going public, and the burgeoning college sports jersey patch wars. |
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 | Nasdaq | 25,122.18 | |
|  | S&P | 7,437.63 | |
|  | Dow | 52,208.06 | |
|  | 10-Year | 4.663% | |
|  | Bitcoin | $64,713.56 | |
|  | Microsoft | $451.1 | |
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*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 5:00pm ET. Here's what these numbers mean. |
| - Markets: Stocks soared yesterday as a tech rally shifted the bad vibes from earlier in the week. The rise was fueled by Microsoft, which went absolutely berserk, spiking more than 15% in the largest-ever single-day jump in a company’s market value after impressing investors with its latest earnings report.
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JUST KEEP SWIMMING US GDP slows, but consumers are still consuming  Nick Iluzada | The US economy is growing at a slower pace, but it’s not letting anything knock it down. GDP growth sank to 1.5% last quarter, the government estimated yesterday, down from 2.1% in the previous quarter and below the 1.8% that economists expected. But, after stripping out volatile government spending and trade numbers, the US economy still grew a relatively healthy 3.9% despite jitters from the Iran war—largely because Americans kept shopping: - Growth in consumer spending, aka the mighty fuel of the US economy, accelerated to 3.2%, from 0.5% in Q1.
- Analysts say that household budgets were aided by bigger-than-usual tax refunds this spring and gas price declines in June stemming from a ceasefire in the Iran war, which has since unraveled.
A separate government report showed that cheaper gas contributed to overall consumer prices falling in June by 0.1% for the first time in six years, though the annual inflation number of 3.7% was still above the Fed’s goal of 2%. Analysts warn that Americans’ purchasing power might run out of steam this quarter as resumed fighting in Iran reignites inflation. The AI splurge economyMuch of the economic expansion was driven by growth in business investment, courtesy of companies spending big on AI infrastructure. More than half of the overall GDP growth in Q2 was driven by AI-related investments like data center construction, according to an estimate by Stripe’s Chief Economist Ernie Tedeschi. However, some corporate AI spending might have actually dampened the official GDP number, since many chips and other supplies came from abroad, accelerating import growth. Looking ahead: The government will likely revise its Q2 growth estimate in the coming weeks, and the Federal Reserve will be watching closely as it weighs whether to raise interest rates in September to fight stubbornly high inflation.—SK |
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Sponsored By PwC Lights, camera, AI?  | To be (AI) or not to be (AI), that is the question. The entry of artificial intelligence into moviemaking has been…you guessed it…dramatic. And The Intelligence Shift is ready to discuss the shift. Early concerns about intellectual property theft and actors and crew being replaced have filled the discourse. But a new picture is beginning to cue up. This episode was filmed parallel to the 25th annual Tribeca Film Festival, which has admitted the first AI film, Dreams of Violets, just this year. Host Dan Priest is joined by Bryn Mooser, cofounder and CEO of Asteria Film. As an Emmy- and Peabody-winning filmmaker, Bryn brings deep knowledge to developing new filmmaking tools powered by AI. Here’s your backstage pass to the episode. |
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