Climate: Birds are dying, and clues point to El Niño.
A die-off of seabirds has some experts wondering if an El Niño weather pattern is to blame.
Climate Forward
August 6, 2026
A person wearing gloves and a scarf over their mouth writes on a piece of paper while examining dead birds on a beach.
Seabird carcasses in Ecuador. American Bird Conservancy

Birds are dying. Clues point to El Niño.

Every month, Giovanny Suárez Espín walks a beach near his home in southern Ecuador, monitoring for dead seabirds. Usually, he sees maybe a handful.

But on recent surveys, the sand has been littered with carcasses.

“Every 10 steps you took, you found five or 10 birds, and it kept going,” said Suárez, who works for American Bird Conservancy, a nonprofit group. “On the three-kilometer walk, we saw lots of dead birds the whole way.”

In June, Suárez and others tallied 638 dead birds on the beaches of three provinces in Ecuador, about seven times the number found over the previous year and a half combined.

“It’s painful,” he said.

In July, they counted an additional 968.

It’s too soon to say for certain what has caused the spike in deaths, which has affected various species, including sooty shearwaters, Peruvian and blue-footed boobies, cormorants, petrels and the critically endangered waved albatross. Die-offs in sea birds aren’t uncommon, and can stem from a variety of factors. In 2023, Ecuador saw mass deaths from avian influenza, said Sebastián Cruz, a seabird ecologist who runs the South American marine bird program for American Bird Conservancy.

But this time, he said, looks different. The birds’ bodies are emaciated. Testing for bird flu is needed, but the few necropsies that have been conducted, along with the behavior of surviving birds, show no signs of infection. And critically, sea surface temperatures off the coast have been exceptionally elevated.

This points to an alarming possibility: The seabirds could already be victims of the building El Niño, a natural climate phenomenon whose effects are now occurring while the planet dangerously warms.

In recent months, as scientists have predicted an El Niño that could be the strongest in recorded history, the attention has focused on how it could hurt humans. And it could hurt us a lot, potentially bringing record heat, drought and torrential rain.

But wildlife stands to suffer, too. Marine mammals and seabirds are among the most at risk.

The effects of El Niño

During an El Niño in the Pacific, the normal upwelling of cold, nutrient-rich waters weakens. Fewer nutrients near the surface lead to less phytoplankton, which leads to fewer small fish like sardines and anchovies, and on up the food chain.

“Larger fish have the opportunity to feed deeper if there are deeper resources available or to move out of the region, but the seabirds don’t have that luxury,” said Sea McKeon, marine program director at American Bird Conservancy, which works with partners in more than 15 countries.

Some of the birds arrive in Ecuador after long migrations from Australia or New Zealand.

“They’ve just flown across the Pacific to find a desert instead of an oasis,” McKeon said.

Historically, seabird populations were much more robust than they have been in recent decades, which gave them better resilience during natural El Niño cycles. But between 1950 and 2010 alone, monitored seabird populations decreased by 70 percent, researchers found.

Globally, the birds face a litany of threats. Coastal development is taking over habitats. Predators like snakes and rats, introduced by humans onto islands where they didn’t evolve, are decimating seabird eggs. Fishing hooks are choking them and nets are drowning them. In recent years, avian influenza has taken a terrible toll.

Then there is the bird-killing ocean heat, which isn’t always tied to El Niño but is intensified by climate change. About half of Alaska’s common murres, some four million birds, died as a result of a marine heat wave from 2015-16, scientists have concluded.

Growing threats

Julia Parrish, an author of that study and a marine ecologist at the University of Washington who is not involved with the Ecuadorean surveys, said the deaths in South America were most likely related to El Niño.

And they probably aren’t the only ones.

“Along the North American coast, there is now a spreading uptick in carcasses of local birds,” Parrish said. “They appear, from the photos I’ve seen, to be emaciated.”

In March and April, a marine heat wave in California may have been behind a brief increase in reports of dead birds, including brown pelicans, loons and grebes, said Krysta Rogers, a senior environmental scientist focusing on avian investigations at the California Department of Fish and Wildlife.

In Ecuador, the beach surveys were intended to monitor birds killed because of fisheries, often after swallowing hooks. Suárez and his colleagues work with local fishers to reduce those threats by helping them adjust their gear and learn to safely extract hooks from birds.

In some ways, those efforts make it even harder to face the new deaths.

“It’s sometimes hard to keep upbeat,” Cruz said. “I can work with eradicating introduced species and I can talk with fishers to reduce seabird bycatch. But then comes the potentially biggest El Niño we have ever recorded and there’s nothing I can do.”

A GIF of an aerial view of a water tank under construction with vehicles and workers around it.
A water tank at a Meta site in El Paso. Concerns about data centers often focus on water, not air pollution. The New York Times

DIRTIER AIR, DIRTIER WATER

Trump’s vision for A.I. dominance comes with major air pollution

In March, a developer working on a Meta data center in El Paso applied to power the site with a gas-burning plant large enough to supply electricity to 300,000 homes.

Texas environmental regulators signed off on the project in just 20 days, months faster than usual.

They approved another project in three days. And an even larger data center power plant, also gas-burning, won approval in just two days.

All without public notice.

When the El Paso facility’s power plant is complete, it could emit as much planet-warming carbon dioxide in a year as 360,000 gasoline-powered passenger vehicles over the same period.

Fast-tracking polluting gas plants

In the debate over data centers that is roiling the country, water use and noise are often cited as objections by neighbors and environmentalists. Less mentioned has been the pollution from the scores of gas-burning plants that will power these data centers.

Nationwide, at least 82 gas-burning power plants are being built or have been proposed to power data centers, according to the Environmental Integrity Project, a nonpartisan research organization. Most were announced or granted permits within the past 18 months.

If built as planned, the gas burning plants — scattered across states including Texas, Ohio and Wyoming — could release as much planet-warming pollution in a year as roughly half of all the passenger vehicles in the United States, according to one estimate by the Environmental Integrity Project.

They would also produce harmful pollutants including particulate matter, formaldehyde and smog-forming nitrogen oxides that can contribute to heart disease, asthma, lung cancer, strokes and other ailments in people living nearby. — Hiroko Tabuchi

Read more.

NUMBERS OF THE DAY

More than 1,700 butterfly species are not living where they once did.

That’s according to a study published Wednesday in the journal Nature Ecology & Evolution, which covered 105 countries. That translates to nearly one in 10 butterfly species with a new range, Annie Roth reports.

Climate change has been the main culprit. “Butterfly species are shifting their ranges on every continent where they occur,” one researcher said.

ONE LAST THING

Oscar the Grouch, emerging from his usual garbage can, talks to various Sesame Street characters.
Oscar, Tango, Abby Cadabby and Elmo in Storm on Sesame Street. Zach Hyman/Netflix

Sesame Street takes on extreme weather

No place is safe from climate change these days. Not even Sesame Street, where sunny days used to sweep the clouds away. On Monday, David Gelles reports, an episode of Sesame Street took on the increasingly common phenomenon of extreme weather. But the episode does not mention climate change by name, or the fossil fuels that are warming the planet.

That was intentional by the show’s creators, who wanted the episode to focus on preparing children for a flood, fire or tornado. And it comes at a politically charged time for PBS, which has been home to Sesame Street for decades, has been attacked by the Trump administration and Republicans and has been subject to budget cuts by President Trump.

“What do we do now? said Rocio Galarza, vice president of U.S. educational programs for Sesame Workshop said of the episode. “Can I, as a 3, 4, 5-year old, be part of the rebuilding process? Children do have those questions.”

Read more.

OTHER NYT CLIMATE NEWS

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Joshua A. Bickel/Associated Press

Trump Administration to Pay German Firm $1.2 Billion to Cancel Wind Leases

It was the fifth such deal struck by the administration to get companies to drop offshore wind projects.

By Brad Plumer

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Drought Threatens a Vital Economic Artery in the Heart of Europe

The Rhine conveys vessels and cargo that power European industry. Record low water levels are disrupting supply chains, adding costs and presenting fresh risks to growth.

By Christopher F. Schuetze, Patricia Cohen and Patrick Junker

Three cars are stuck in brown, muddy waters outside a home on a sunny day. The water reaches about halfway up the vehicles’ wheels.

Mark J. Terrill/Associated Press

In a Hurricane-Season Twist, the West Coast May Be the One to Watch

It hasn’t been that long since Hurricane Hilary made a run at Southern California. Could this year see a repeat?

By Judson Jones

A large, dusty construction site with two long, low white buildings.

Paul Ratje for The New York Times

A.I. Gas Guzzlers

We look at what’s powering data centers.

By Evan Gorelick

Mario Freitas, in a red shirt, walks through extensive fire devastation. The ground is covered in ash, debris, and burnt structures.

Fires Wrecked Their Village in France. Now They Want Answers.

After fleeing France’s worst wildfire in decades, residents of Le Porge, a village west of Bordeaux, returned home 13 days later. They found a town in ruins.

By Ségolène Le Stradic and William Daniels

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Adam Gray/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Calculator

How Much of N.Y.C. Is Covered by Trees? Not Enough.

A goal to improve and expand the city’s tree canopy lacks a solid plan and the money to enact one.

By Joyce Cohen

A large clump of dirt near trees encircled by caution tape.

Petra Molina

Someone Is Poisoning Trees Near Lake Tahoe

Eleven trees have been killed over the past several years by a strong-smelling, unidentified substance. Another 16 were just attacked this year.

By Soumya Karlamangla

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The Hague Dispatch

As Southern Europe Overheats, The Hague Is a Spot for a ‘Coolcation’

Looking for respite from European heat waves, summer tourists are flocking to the diplomatic hub. But city leaders are wary of overcrowding.

By Jeanna Smialek and Ilvy Njiokiktjien

More climate news from around the web:

  • The El Niño weather pattern could push 50 million people across the world into acute hunger by the end of next year, The Guardian reports, citing new United Nations projections.
  • Seoul was expected to hit 102 degrees Fahrenheit on Thursday, Reuters reports. “Extreme heat on a scale we have ​never experienced is continuing day after day,” said President Lee ​Jae Myung.
  • Inside Climate News highlights a new report from the Government Accountability Office, which finds that widespread job cuts at the Federal Emergency Management Agency have hurt the agency’s ability to respond to disasters. Roughly 17 percent of the agency’s work force, more than 4,300 employees, have resigned or were dismissed during the last fiscal year.

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