The US Senate votes on crypto regulation; the Fed decides rates, and the yen watches BOJ   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏   ͏
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Make or Break Week for Crypto
Crypto wants clarity. September 15 is when it finds out if it gets any. The US Senate holds a key vote on the CLARITY Act. The bill can give crypto businesses clearer US rules and reduce uncertainty.
Source: MultiBank Group
Bullish
The bill gets approved, triggering optimism that can start a crypto rally.
Bearish
The bill gets rejected, and likely stalls until the next Congress in 2027, sparking a crypto selloff.
Whatever the outcome, brace for a volatile week in crypto starting Tuesday.
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Gold awaits Fed’s decision
Last week, gold failed to break the $4,500 threshold. Whether the non-interest paying metal climbs back above $4,500 hinges on the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on Wednesday. Markets are now leaning toward a hike, pricing a near 70% probability.
Source: MultiBank Group
Bearish
Hike to 3.75-4.00%
A rate hike with more increases indicated ahead, can lift yields and limit gold's upside.
Bullish
Stable at 3.50-3.75%
A hold paired with dovish post-meeting commentary, can give gold wide room to climb.
In a pivotal week for the rest of the year, gold might see heightened volatility.
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Japanese Yen on the Edge
The Japanese yen reached a seven-month high last week, driven by rising expectations of an interest hike by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) this week, its second this year, alongside a broader unwind of yen carry trades.
What’s the Yen Carry Trade?
For years, investors borrowed cheap yen at near-zero rates to fund higher-yielding assets elsewhere. The BOJ's rate hikes since 2024 have steadily eroded that edge, making the yen carry trade risker.
Source: MultiBank Group
Bullish
BOJ hikes interest rate and signals more increases ahead, driving more yen buying.
Bearish
BOJ holds and signals a slower rate hike path ahead, driving more yen selling.
This central bank week could shake up forex, with the yen leading the story.
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Mark Your Calendar
Day Event
Wed
UK CPI YoY (Aug)
US Retail Sales MoM (Aug)
Fed Interest Rate Decision (Sep)
US FOMC Economic Projections
US FOMC Press Conference
Thu
Eurozone CPI YoY (Aug)
BoE Interest Rate Decision (Sep)
US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims
US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Sep)
Fri
BOJ Interest Rate Decision (Sep)
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