The Morning: America’s retreat
Plus, Hurricane Isaias, lucrative degrees and bra tops.
The Morning
October 8, 2026
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Good morning. Isaias is now the first Atlantic hurricane of the season. It’s headed for the Gulf Coast.

There’s more news below, including a story about which college degrees are the most lucrative. (English isn’t one of them.) First, though, let’s talk about the war with Iran.

A large airplane taking off.
Getty Images/Getty Images

In retreat

The war against Iran was meant to be a projection of American power, another example of the U.S. military’s reach. American forces had already destroyed three Iranian nuclear sites last year and snatched President Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela out of his compound in Caracas. President Trump called the conflict a brief “excursion” into the Middle East to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon. A little more than a week into it, he said the war’s objectives were “pretty well complete.”

Seven months or so later, there are not many people saying that. As my colleagues David Sanger and Eric Schmitt report, the war has repeatedly constrained U.S. power rather than enhanced it.

Take this past weekend’s hasty withdrawal of a dozen B-1 bombers from an air base in Britain. Not a big deal, the administration said at first: If you hear of a threat, it’s good to be cautious. We move these planes around all the time. Not difficult! (Except, as Eric reported, it’s pretty difficult.)

On Monday, British and American officials described that threat: specific and credible information that operatives backed by Iran were planning to launch drone strikes against the planes and U.S. troops from right outside the air base’s fence.

To anyone watching the war closely — and that’s David and Eric — the operation that brought the planes back to their bases in the United States “was another glaring example of how, time after time, Mr. Trump and his defense secretary, Pete Hegseth, have been forced into retreat, pulling back military forces that had been deployed to the Middle East and Britain as a deterrent.”

That matters, they say, because such retreats tell the Iranians that they can make a superpower turn tail.

A battlefield transformed

Smoke rising over a city.
Smoke rises in Qatar following an Iranian strike in February. Mahmud Hams/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Iran’s drones have already altered how the Pentagon thinks about its vulnerabilities. It’s not enough to keep forces out of missile range now. Drones and cyberweapons can be deployed almost anywhere, reshaping the concept of the battlefield.

Yes, the United States obliterated Tehran’s navy at the start of the war. Its air force, too. And a U.S. naval blockade has battered Iran’s economy. But, as David and Eric write:

That has not stopped the Iranians from forcing American aircraft and personnel to flee their once-secure bases — farther and farther from Iran. American personnel were evacuated from bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar, all of which were within Iranian missile and drone range. Some of those bases were so badly damaged that inside the Pentagon there is little interest in rebuilding them; they will be moved farther away, if Congress grants the funding.

All of which makes it hard for the United States to look like the foremost power in the world. American forces can still send bombers to their targets abroad, but they will now need to fly from home soil, which takes time and a lot of fuel. (Also, they’re running low on missiles.) Carrier groups can still patrol the region, but the sailors can’t secure supplies from a base in Bahrain, because Iran destroyed it.

The naval supply chain now runs to Diego Garcia, an island in the Indian Ocean more than 2,000 miles away. To get there requires weeks of sea time and, once more, a lot of fuel. The costs mount.

An independent press

The administration sees things very differently, of course. Out on the campaign trail for the midterm elections, Trump has said Iran is on the brink of collapse. Last week, he said the war would fold up “right after the election.”

David and Eric were particularly bracing about the distance between their reporting and Trump’s position. They write of the president: “Any description of Iranian progress, he insists, is ‘fake news,’ promulgated by news organizations that are writing about munitions shortages and other setbacks because they are disloyal to the country.”

Fact check: False.

IN ONE CHART

A chart showing the average earnings of college graduates by institution and major.
Source: The HEA Group. The New York Times

Which college majors pay off, and which ones don’t? Explore your school and your concentration here.

FREE TO READ

A young man standing on the edge of a boat reeling in a large fish.
William DeShazer for The New York Times

Reel it in: Need help paying for college? Try bass fishing.

Mayhem on the tarmac: An airline passenger in California stole an airport tug, crashed it, then tried to escape in a waste truck. What?

Your pick: The most clicked link in The Morning yesterday was about a California couple accused of abusing 15 of their children.

Space pioneer: Margaret Hamilton led a 100-person team that wrote the onboard software for the Apollo program. She died at 90.

THE LATEST NEWS

Zohran Mamdani, dressed in black, stands solemnly at a vigil.
Zohran Mamdani. Hilary Swift for The New York Times

Politics

  • Pro-Palestinian demonstrators disrupted a vigil in Manhattan for victims of the Oct. 7 attacks and criticized Zohran Mamdani, the New York mayor.
  • A Democratic congressional candidate in Arizona said she was abducted and raped this summer while repairing a damaged campaign sign.
  • Ask The Morning: The midterms are about a month away. Do you have questions about voter ID measures? Political ads? Polls? Send them here and we’ll have reporters answer.

Israel

Russia

A map showing Russian advances in the Donbas and similarly sized areas reclaimed by Ukraine nearby.
Source: Institute for the Study of War and AEI’s Critical Threats Project (as of Oct. 4). Josh Holder/The New York Times
  • A monthslong Ukrainian counteroffensive has pushed back Russian forces in the Donbas region.
  • Russia said that a researcher at an anti-plague institute who died from a mysterious pneumonia had been vaccinated and that no “emergency situations” had occurred.
  • Three African military governments started a television channel with support from Russia after cracking down on independent media.

Reputations

Three moving image of women. One shows a woman sitting on a sofa. One shows a woman standing in a doorway. One shows a woman standing behind some foliage.
Ariana Drehsler for The New York Times
  • Women in Hollywood have accused public relations firms of carrying out online smear campaigns intended to destroy their reputations during legal proceedings.
  • When old photos of Chris Gallant, a Democratic congressional candidate on Long Island, surfaced showing him posing in bondage for a fetish brand, he made the most of the reveal. “All my friends know I’m kinky,” he told The Times.

Other Big Stories

HEALTH CHECK

Robert F. Kennedy Jr seen in profile.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Shelby Tauber for The New York Times

Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is a skeptic in the hunt for an H.I.V. vaccine. So when the Trump administration delayed funds for research networks that study H.I.V., tuberculosis and emerging diseases, scientists feared the worst. Some of them were told not to start any long-term studies. They told The Times what might happen to patients in clinical (and future) trials.

On Monday, Kennedy made his first visit as health secretary to the National Institutes of Health. The trip was not announced, and employees had been encouraged to work from home. While he was there, Kennedy discussed an initiative to address vaccine injuries, which will include a new research clinic at N.I.H.

OPINIONS

An illustration showing red figures in a black-and-white lab.
Bina Thorsen

We don’t know what exactly killed a woman who worked at an anti-plague research lab, and we may never learn. That’s why we need to be prepared for any future surprise pathogen, an immunologist argues.

The debate about the alleged Cornell assault has confused “legal” and “decent” behavior. It shows how we need to think beyond consent as the “ultimate arbiter of acceptability” in sex, Christine Emba writes.

The Anniversary Sale ends soon: Morning readers, enjoy our best offer.

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TODAY’S NUMBER

194

— That is the approximate age of Jonathan the giant tortoise. Scientists recently sequenced his genome, hoping it can offer clues about longevity. Take a look at the old fellow. He’s spry!

SPORTS

M.L.B.: The Yankees’ season is over after the Tampa Bay Rays swept their American League division series. In the National League, the Atlanta Braves are also out following a 4-1 loss at home to the Dodgers.

W.N.B.A.: The Golden State Valkyries are one win away from their first trip to the championships with an 83-81 victory over the Las Vegas Aces.

Golf: Jon Rahm and Sergio Garcia are both leaving LIV, effective immediately. Rahm’s departure is a serious blow for the bankrupt league.