Brussels Edition
Welcome to the Brussels Edition, Bloomberg’s daily briefing on what matters most in the heart of the European Union.Emmanuel Macron is explo
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Welcome to the Brussels Edition, Bloomberg’s daily briefing on what matters most in the heart of the European Union.

Emmanuel Macron is exploring the possibility of holding another snap parliamentary election after a disastrous ballot last year cost the French president his legislative majority and sent France into a political tailspin. Macron is weighing how to capitalize on his moment in the international spotlight after the geopolitical upheaval that followed Donald Trump’s return to the White House. No decision has been made about an early vote and discussions are merely consultative, we’re told, though one option being floated is to hold the ballot at the same time as municipal elections next year. Such a move would risk undermining the relative stability of the minority government and may even lend momentum to Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally before the 2027 presidential election.

John Ainger

What’s Happening

Lose-Lose | President Donald Trump has signed up the whole world to a “lose-lose game” on trade based on flawed economic arguments, threatening to undermine financial stability, top ECB official Francois Villeroy de Galhau said in New York. The IMF sharply lowered its forecasts for world growth this year and next, warning the outlook could deteriorate further. What does the outlook mean for the EU?

Ukraine Talks |  Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy said he’d like to meet Trump at the Vatican on Saturday, where global leaders will attend the funeral of Pope Francis. Zelenskiy said his team would be ready to discuss an “unconditional ceasefire or partial ceasefire” during talks set to take place in London with Ukraine’s allies today. 

Gas Plan | Despite talk of peace, the EU is still working on its plans to phase out the last remaining Russian fossil fuels still coming into the bloc. The bloc is preparing to discuss a possible ban on spot purchases of natural gas from Russia, one of a number of options due to be presented May 6 to EU members by the commission, we’re told. 

Mission Accomplished | The ECB’s job to bring to bring inflation down to 2% is nearly achieved even as the economic backdrop becomes more volatile, according to President Christine Lagarde. She said she and her colleagues must be “data dependent in the extreme” as they decide whether to extend or pause an interest rate-cutting campaign that began in June 2024.

Around Europe

Picking a Pope | When the future Pope Francis arrived in Rome for a papal conclave in 2013, he brought only one small suitcase — the Jesuit from Argentina was not expecting to be elected to lead the Catholic Church. But elected he was, in an arcane process hidden behind closed doors, and he would never again set foot in his native Argentina. Here’s how the rules for picking future popes could be improved.

Polish Problems | As Europe races to ratchet up its domestic defense industry, its largest spender as a proportion of GDP is showing just how hard that actually is. A series of delays to key projects and cost overruns show that Poland is missing key production targets of ammunition and gunpowder. Read our deep dive

UniCredit Doubt | UniCredit’s standoff with Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has taken a fresh turn, with the company signaling that government conditions imposed on its proposed takeover of Banco BPM have cast doubt over the deal.

Mysterious Fortune | A longstanding mystery surrounding the wealth of an octogenarian heir to the Hermès luxury fortune just got even murkier. At stake for the company, which makes Birkin handbags and colorful silk scarves, is around €14 billion and a building pile of lawsuits.

Chart of the Day

Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said Spain will boost defense spending by €10.5 billion this year, meaning the country’s military expenditures will reach NATO’s target of 2% of economic output in 2025. It’s a major shift for the country, which has fallen short of the goal for years and spends less than all other NATO members. Spain’s defense spending in 2024 was 1.4% of GDP.

Today’s Agenda

All times CET

  • 2 p.m. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen takes part in leaders call as part of run-up to COP30

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