Presented by Novo Nordisk: The preparations, personnel decisions and policy deliberations of Donald Trump's presidential transition.
Nov 20, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO'S West Wing Playbook: Transition of Power

By Lisa Kashinsky, Eli Stokols, Lauren Egan, Megan Messerly and Ben Johansen

Presented by Novo Nordisk

Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook, your guide to the preparations, personnel decisions and policy deliberations of Donald Trump’s transition. POLITICO Pro subscribers receive a version of this newsletter first.

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DONALD TRUMP is turning Republicans’ governing trifecta dreams into a nightmarish power struggle — and he’s not even in the Oval Office yet.

The president-elect is pushing controversial Cabinet picks and has threatened to leverage what was historically a failsafe mechanism for filling critical vacancies — recess appointments — if Republican senators won’t bend to his whims.

The idea of Trump using his constitutional authority to recess Congress and install his Cabinet could be an elaborate “West Wing” fan fic — or a fundamental test of Senate authority at a time when the GOP is broadly falling in line behind him.

Already, there are signs of resistance. In a secret ballot last week, GOP senators selected JOHN THUNE as their leader over RICK SCOTT, who offered a full-throated endorsement of Trump’s recess strategy idea. THOM TILLIS told reporters at the Capitol on Wednesday that while he could support recess appointments for lower-level nominees, the practice should “be absolutely off the table” for Cabinet positions. And there are longtime institutionalists, like MITCH McCONNELL, who, while shrinking in number, care deeply about preserving Senate authority and could find doing so more important than avoiding Trump’s wrath.

There’s a chance that Trump’s recess appointment push is merely a “red herring,” said JUDD GREGG, a former Republican senator and past New Hampshire governor. “I can understand why he’s trying to get everyone’s attention that he wants to get his Cabinet together — this may be a way of poking folks to act faster. But I don’t see any reason why the Senate should give up its prerogative, which is constitutional.”

But it could also foreshadow how Trump, who spoke on the campaign trail of wielding “extreme power” as president, will again attempt to test the limits of executive authority when he resumes office.

Trump is far from unique in looking for ways to exploit the power of the presidency. GEORGE W. BUSH drastically expanded executive power after 9/11, using the “war on terror” as a pretext to utilize enhanced interrogation tactics against suspected terrorists and to conduct unwarranted surveillance of citizens’ private communications.

BARACK OBAMA enacted his signature immigration policy, DACA, through executive action, authorized missile strikes without congressional approval as part of the ongoing war on terror and employed a pen-and-phone strategy to push policies in his second term. And JOE BIDEN, despite entering office vowing to restore constitutional norms his predecessor had tested, also pushed the scope of presidential power by forgiving $430 billion in student loan debt through executive action — a move challenged by seven states as a breach of the separation of powers.

But Trump, in his first term, went further than anyone to test the constitutional framework, pushing both the legislative and judicial branches to accede to his demands, overlook transgressions that twice led to impeachments and grant him legal immunity — all tipping a rickety system of checks and balances further toward the president.

“Each of the 21st century presidents — Bush, Obama, Trump, Biden and Trump again — have expanded the powers of the presidency in discreet ways that, when viewed in total, show a huge expansion of the power of the presidency,” said TEVI TROY, a senior fellow at the Ronald Reagan Institute who served as deputy Health and Human Services secretary in the Bush administration.

“We just have a bigger presidency, a more powerful presidency, than the one Bill Clinton left 20 years ago,” Troy said.

Now Trump is threatening to bulldoze anything in his path as he returns to power with a (shrinking) popular-vote mandate and broad immunity for official acts. And his first order of business — stacking his administration with loyalists — could become an early test of both how far Trump will try to stretch his executive authority and whether Hill Republicans will let him.

If GOP senators move to block, say, MATT GAETZ — who the president-elect is standing by even as allegations of sexual misconduct imperil his path to confirmation as attorney general — Trump could try to make good on his threat to proceed with recess appointments.

Doing so would be logistically challenging. For nearly 20 years, the Senate has rarely truly recessed — the chamber holds pro-forma sessions every few days to avoid it — because on a bipartisan basis, senators have agreed that the president shouldn’t use a recess to appoint people.

The Constitution outlines a scenario in which Trump could force Congress to recess. But the theory is untested — and likely to send the president back into court.

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POTUS PUZZLER

How many presidents did not attend the inauguration of their successors?

(Answer at bottom.)

Pro Exclusive

U.S. climate officials race to ink a deal that Trump could spurn, via our SARA SCHONHARDT and ZACK COLMAN

"Focus on the mission,” NOAA chief tells employees as Trump looms, via our ZACK COLMAN

Trump team could bring both ax and scalpel to Interior, via our MICHAEL DOYLE, HEATHER RICHARDS and SCOTT STREATER

The reporting in this section is exclusively available to POLITICO Pro subscribers. Pro is a personalized policy intelligence platform from POLITICO. If you are interested in learning more about how POLITICO Pro can support your team through the 2024 transition and beyond, visit politicopro.com.

Heads up, we're all transition all the time over on our live blog: Inside Congress Live: Transition of Power. Bookmark politico.com/transition to keep up with us.`

 

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THE BUREAUCRATS

HOPE HE LIKES MOULES FRITES: On Wednesday, Trump nominated MATTHEW WHITAKER, former acting attorney general, as his ambassador to NATO, our ERIC BAZAIL-EIMIL reports. Whitaker’s foreign policy views are largely unknown — he’s never served in a national security-focused job and a review of his X account found only three posts mentioning Ukraine.

What we do know: The president-elect has continually threatened to pull the U.S. out of NATO, arguing that European countries in the transatlantic alliance should drastically increase their defense spending. And Whitaker, stationed in Brussels, will likely play a key role holding member states to account.

NOT IN THIS CONGRESS!! After a two-hour meeting Wednesday, the House Ethics Committee did not agree to release its long-anticipated report into Trump’s attorney general nominee, Matt Gaetz, our JORDAIN CARNEY, DANIELLA DIAZ, NICHOLAS WU and OLIVIA BEAVERS report. “There was not an agreement by the committee to release the report,” Chair MICHAEL GUEST (R-Miss.) told reporters.

Earlier in the day, Rep. SEAN CASTEN (D-Ill.) pledged to force a House floor vote if the panel did not release the report. Casten plans to introduce a privileged resolution, which means that it can bypass committee consideration and speed to the floor without leadership’s approval.

ENTER, THE FBI: Senate Judiciary Committee Democrats have officially requested the FBI file on Gaetz, our RACHAEL BADE scoops. In a letter obtained by POLITICO and sent to FBI Director CHRISTOPHER WRAY, they requested the evidentiary file from law enforcement’s probe into whether Gaetz engaged in child sex trafficking. All committee Democrats aside from Georgia Sen. JON OSSOFF signed the letter.

“In order for the Senate to perform its constitutional duty in this instance, we must be able to thoroughly review all relevant materials that speak to the credibility of these serious allegations against Mr. Gaetz,” the letter reads.

ANYTHING TO GET CAP’N CRUNCH BANNED: ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. is on a mission to win over anti-abortion groups and allies on Capitol Hill. It could make or break his Senate confirmation hearing as Trump’s Health and Human Services secretary, our MEGAN MESSERLY, ALICE MIRANDA OLLSTEIN and ADAM CANCRYN report.

Abortion opponents — concerned about Kennedy’s past support for abortion access — have two major asks: that he publicly promise to restore anti-abortion policies from the first Trump administration and that he appoint an anti-abortion stalwart to a senior HHS position.

Contenders for that senior position include ROGER SEVERINO, director of HHS’ Office for Civil Rights during the first Trump administration, and ERIC HARGAN, Trump’s former deputy HHS secretary.

Kennedy — who reportedly has little personal interest in abortion policy — seems to be open to their requests.

A UNION-FRIENDLY LABOR SEC? UNDER TRUMP? An employer group is sounding the alarm about the possibility that Trump will nominate Rep. LORI CHAVEZ-DeREMER (R-Ore.) for Labor secretary, our LAWRENCE UKENYE reports. KRISTEN SWEARINGEN, president of the Coalition for a Democratic Workplace, zeroed in on the lawmaker’s support for pro-union legislation, including the PRO Act, which she co-sponsored. Chavez-DeRemer emerged as a possible Labor pick after she was backed by Teamsters president SEAN O’BRIEN and some of her fellow GOP lawmakers.

If Trump were to tap her to lead the Labor Department, it would be a significant departure from the business-friendly labor officials who worked in his first administration.

WHO’S UP, WHO’S DOWN? You can bet on anything these days. West Wing Playbook is setting the odds for key Trump administration jobs. Based on reporting and vibes, here are our lines for Agriculture secretary, courtesy of our MEREDITH LEE HILL. She says to keep your eyes peeled for a dark horse candidate.

Betting odds for who will be President-elect Donald Trump's Agriculture secretary, for West Wing Playbook.

Agenda Setting

GET IT OUT THE DOOR: Commerce Secretary GINA RAIMONDO doesn’t want to leave Trump with any room to take credit for high-tech investments. So the Biden administration is aiming to commit nearly every unspent dollar in its $50 billion microchip-subsidy program before the president-elect takes over in January, our STEVEN OVERLY reports.

“I’d like to have really almost all of the money obligated by the time we leave,” Raimondo said in an interview with POLITICO. “That’s the goal, and I certainly want to have all the major announcements done as it relates to the big, leading-edge companies.”

To hit her target, Raimondo still needs to nail down contracts with Intel, Micron, Samsung and SK hynix — multibillion-dollar deals that have, at times, been rocky and required renegotiations.

A NOTABLE BREAK: One GOP senator on Tuesday broke from the incoming Trump administration’s plan to use the military for mass deportations of undocumented immigrants. Sen. RAND PAUL (R-Ky.) called it a “huge mistake” and a misuse of military personnel, our GRETA REICH reports.

“I’m not in favor of sending the Army in uniforms into our cities to collect people,” Paul told Newsmax host ROB SCHMITT. “I think it’s a terrible image and that’s not what we use our military for, we never have and it’s actually been illegal for over 100 years to bring the Army into our cities.”

 

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What We're Reading

In Trump’s Washington, sexual misconduct allegations may no longer be disqualifying (POLITICO’s Adam Wren, Mia McCarthy, Megan Messerly and Eli Stokols)

Meet the pillars of the next Trump resistance (POLITICO’s Liz Crampton and Lisa Kashinsky)

Linda McMahon made a fortune with WWE. Wrestling scandals now shadow her rise. (WaPo’s Beth Reinhard and Abha Bhattarai)

 

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POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

Four sitting presidents did not attend the inaugural ceremonies of their successors, according to the White House Historical Association: JOHN ADAMS in 1801; JOHN QUINCY ADAMS in 1829; ANDREW JOHNSON in 1869; and Trump in 2021.

A CALL OUT! Do you think you have a harder trivia question? Send us your best one about the presidents, with a citation or sourcing, and we may feature it!

Edited by Jennifer Haberkorn and Rishika Dugyala.

 

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