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Nov 22, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Declan Harty and Sam Sutton

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the Electronic Payments Coalition

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QUICK FIX

Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler stormed onto the scene as Wall Street’s chief regulator with a rush of ideas on how to better protect investors and strengthen the more than $100 trillion capital markets.

He’ll leave with critical pieces of his agenda in legal and political limbo.

On Thursday, Gensler — a long-time Goldman Sachs partner turned veteran financial regulator — announced that he would be stepping down as the top U.S. markets regulator on Jan. 20. His exit will cap what has been a wild stretch for the SEC that began with the rise of meme stocks, including one of the largest financial frauds in American history and a banking crisis, and ends as bitcoin knocks on the door of $100,000 for the first time ever.

Gensler has pursued a sweeping and contentious agenda as SEC chair all the while, often leaving financial giants, cryptocurrency firms and their allies on Capitol Hill fuming. He moved to overhaul the pricing of U.S. stocks and to bolster the resiliency of the almighty Treasury market. He pushed to usher in a host of new disclosure requirements for public companies, including about their climate-related risks, and installed new rules around corporate insiders selling shares — to name a few of his rulemaking efforts.

“You’ve had chairs who have taken on one or two industries and left others untouched, and the result is that they really end up fighting only one industry or on a handful of rules at a time. He didn’t take that approach — he took on everyone,” Healthy Markets Association CEO Tyler Gellasch told MM. “He picked a fight every day with folks who would run to Congress or the Fifth Circuit [for help].”

But, as Gensler heads for the exit, the fates of some of his plans for Wall Street and corporate America remain up in the air.

Legal challenges against the SEC’s climate disclosure rule and push to overhaul the pricing of U.S. stocks, among others, are ongoing. The court crusade, steered in large part by leading financial industry and big business groups, has already begun to pay off. On Thursday, shortly before Gensler’s announcement, a federal judge in Texas struck down the SEC’s so-called dealer rule — handing hedge fund groups a major win.

What’s more, President-elect Donald Trump’s yet-to-be-named pick for SEC chair is likely to look at whether to undo other rules — while they pull back on enforcement in some corners of the markets, such as crypto.

“Much of Gensler’s agenda will ultimately not survive, in my opinion, the next four years,” said Citadel CEO Ken Griffin — whose firms have sharply criticized key parts of Gensler’s agenda — on Thursday, per the Financial Times. “Between the courts and a new SEC, we’re going to see a rollback on the regulatory onslaught.”

Unwinding Gensler’s agenda, however, won’t be simple.

Judges may not look kindly on the SEC suddenly pivoting its stance on a given issue, despite the administration change. And even then, much of Gensler’s agenda isn’t likely to go anywhere. Only a handful of the 44 rules passed so far during his tenure have been challenged in the courts, and few expect that a Trump-appointed chair would seek to upend certain uncontroversial efforts like central clearing in the Treasury market.

Most of the rules adopted by the Gensler-led SEC were approved by bipartisan votes.

“You’re missing the plot. The SEC under Chair Gensler has been one of the most productive Commissions on behalf of issuers and investors since the agency was created 90 years ago,” an SEC spokesperson told MM. “The reforms adopted over the last three-and-a-half years enhance efficiency, competition, and investor protection in the U.S. capital markets. The agency’s enforcement actions have held wrongdoers accountable and returned billions to harmed investors.”

Investment Company Institute CEO Eric Pan told MM the next SEC chair will be walking into “a very challenging” situation.

While there has been an uproar over some of the Gensler SEC’s rules, the next chair may not need to revisit those or want to, Pan said — at least not immediately. They’ll have their own priorities and likely push to pivot the SEC’s approach to crypto after several years of intense scrutiny on the industry that predates Gensler’s time as chair.

Resources, meanwhile, will be thin.

“The next SEC chair has to make a hard decision as to what he or she is going to focus on,” Pan said. “As a chair, you have bandwidth issues. So you have to be selective. You have to prioritize.”

He added: “There’s no Gensler rule [that] if you fail to revisit it, there’s going to be a huge problem.”

IT’S FRIDAY — And we here at POLITICO have aged 15 years with this news cycle. Want to talk financial markets policy in 2025? Give me a shout: dharty@politico.com. And, as always, you can reach Sam at ssutton@politico.com and @samjsutton.

 

A message from the Electronic Payments Coalition:

SHOW ME THE MONEY: CORPORATE MEGA-STORES POCKETED THE MONEY BREAKING THEIR PROMISE TO CONSUMERS. Corporate mega-stores promised they would lower prices for consumers if Congress put mandates on Americans’ debit cards. That never happened and the mega-stores pushing up costs pocketed more than $145 billion, according to the Congressional Research Service. Why should anyone believe this time will be different? CONGRESS: STOP THE MEGA-STORE WINDFALL & OPPOSE THE DURBIN-MARSHALL CREDIT CARD BILL!

 
Driving the day

The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Survey for November will be released at 10 a.m. … Friends, colleagues and former students of Larry Summers are hosting a macroeconomic conference at Harvard University at 1 p.m. in honor of the former Treasury secretary’s 70th birthday. Speakers include Alan Garber, Olivier Blanchard, Gene Sperling, Robert Rubin, Sheryl Sandberg and Eric Lander … Federal Reserve Gov. Michelle Bowman will speak on artificial intelligence at the 27th Annual Symposium on Building the Financial System of the 21st Century at 6:15 p.m. …

Where things stand on Treasury — The interviews are over. The (public) list of potential candidates remains unchanged. And Trump still hasn’t announced a decision on who will lead his economic policy agenda.

Scott Bessent, a macro hedge fund CEO and Trump campaign adviser, along with former Federal Reserve Gov. Kevin Warsh and Apollo Global Management CEO Marc Rowan are still among the top contenders to become Treasury secretary. Robert Lighthizer, who served as U.S. Trade Representative during Trump’s first administration, and Sen. Bill Hagerty (R-Tenn.) remain in the mix as well. Rumors abound about who is up and who is down but, until Trump names his pick, those are simply rumors.

Trump’s former director of the National Economic Council Gary Cohn noted during an appearance on Bloomberg Television on Thursday that he and former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin weren’t named to their posts until after Thanksgiving during Trump’s first transition in 2016.

“This is one of the most important — if not the most important — pick he is going to make. So getting it right is important,” Cohn said.

From the Treasury to the Fed? As for Warsh’s candidacy, Trump isn’t just considering the former Fed governor for Treasury secretary. Last night, the WSJ’s Brian Schwartz, Vivian Salama and Andrew Restuccia reported that Trump has discussed having Warsh first serve as Treasury secretary before taking over as Federal Reserve chair when Jerome Powell’s term ends in 2026.

Lock the Gaetz! Matt Gaetz withdrew his bid to be Trump’s Attorney General amid signs that too many Senate Republicans opposed his nomination. The former (and, maybe, future) Florida representative was staring at the potential release – or leak — of a House Ethics report investigating allegations of sexual misconduct, including that he engaged in sex with a minor.

Well, that was quickTrump didn’t take long to land on who should be AG after Gaetz dropped out. Just hours after Gaetz’s exit, Trump said he would nominate Pam Bondi to become AG. Bondi is the former attorney general of Florida and “a staunch loyalist who is seen as an overtly political operator,” Gary Fineout, Mia McCarthy and Erica Orden report. She is also the sister of Paul Hastings Partner Brad Bondi, who is seen as one of several candidates vying for SEC chair.

Doctor’s in? Ben Carson is a favorite to return to the Department of Housing and Urban Development, Katy O’Donnell and Victoria Guida report. Carson led HUD during the first Trump administration and, if chosen and confirmed, he would likely seek to slash the department’s funding and reverse Biden-era fair housing policies.

Lutnick cashes outTrump’s Commerce pick Howard Lutnick will step down from his three businesses and divest his interest in two public companies if confirmed, according to Bloomberg’s Todd Gillespie. The billionaire CEO will divest from BGC Group and Newmark Group, Gillespie reports, but Lutnick “doesn’t plan to sell shares on the open market.”

 

Want to know what's really happening with Congress's make-or-break spending fights? Get daily insider analysis of Hill negotiations, funding deadlines, and breaking developments—free in your inbox with Inside Congress. Subscribe now.

 
 
On the Hill

Big dealEleanor Mueller scoops that House Republicans have drafted a proposal that would meld dueling approaches to restricting U.S. investment in Chinese companies. The draft bill, which was written by House Foreign Affairs Chair Michael McCaul (R-Texas) and Rep. Andy Barr (R-Ky.), categorizes restricted investments by technologies, rather than entire industrial sectors. The lawmakers are hoping to insert the compromise into must-pass defense legislation, but it’s unclear if it has the approval of business-friendly leaders like House Financial Services Chair Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.).

— Reps. Young Kim (R-Ca.) and Joyce Beatty (D-Ohio) have introduced legislation to rework the default rate cap at the Export-Import Bank’s China and Transformational Exports Program, which is designed to help domestic exporters facing competition from the People's Republic of China. The bill would exclude export financing deals and projects that are in direct competition with Chinese Communist Party-owned businesses from the 2 percent default cap.

Hill’s bid for chair — From Jasper Goodman: “Rep. French Hill, the Arkansas Republican vying to become the next House Financial Services chair, is pledging to prioritize his plan to "Make Community Banking Great Again" and create new committee positions if he takes over as the panel’s leader next year.”

The 11th hour — Outgoing Senate Agriculture Chair Debbie Stabenow’s last-minute push to pass crypto legislation that would expand the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s role in regulating digital assets is getting a cold reception from the committee’s ranking GOP Sen. John Boozman. Stabenow’s effort "seems a little bit late,” the Arkansas Republican told Eleanor.

Senate Banking to hear from Chopra next month — CFPB Director Rohit Chopra is expected to testify before Senate Banking in December, committee Chair Sherrod Brown told Eleanor Thursday.

"We've got Rohit coming in December; not sure of the actual day," Brown said in an interview. And "he's always cooperative, so I'd assume he's going to be there."

Aides said earlier this month that House Financial Services was eyeing a hearing with Chopra on Dec. 10 — but that leadership would likely scrap the plans given the election results.

The CFPB did not respond to a request for comment.

 

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At the regulators

New sanctions Treasury on Thursday announced new sanctions on the large Russian bank Gazprombank as the Biden administration seeks to use its remaining weeks in office to cripple Russia’s ability to fund its war against Ukraine, Michael Stratford reports. “This sweeping action will make it harder for the Kremlin to evade U.S. sanctions and fund and equip its military,” Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a statement.

Final push — The CFPB on Thursday unveiled new rules cracking down on large non-bank firms with digital payment apps, Katy reports. The final “larger market participants” rule will apply to companies that handle more than 50 million transactions per year, subjecting them to the kinds of regular inspections and close monitoring imposed on large banks and credit unions.

Trouble at USAA — An investigation from American Banker and the San Antonio Current has found that USAA, the popular bank and insurer that caters to members of the military and their families, has failed “to make the investments needed to keep both its regulators and some decades-long customers happy.”

 

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Wall Street

A new entry to the Citadel? Citadel’s Griffin on Thursday said he’s open to selling a stake in his hedge fund. He also gave this prediction about Trump-era regulation: “We won’t spend the next four years trying to figure out what problem SEC is trying to solve for,” he said, per Bloomberg’s Sonali Basak, Katherine Burton, and Hema Parmar.

Sam will declare war if quality or ambiance dips — Crain’s New York reports Keens Steakhouse has sold for $30 million to Tilman Fertitta, the CEO of Texas-based hospitality corporation Landry's and a GOP megadonor.

 

A message from the Electronic Payments Coalition:

DON’T LET CORPORATE MEGA-STORES TAKE FROM CONSUMERS… AGAIN!
Corporate mega-store lobbyists are at it again. They promised to lower prices for consumers if Congress enacted new mandates and price controls on debit cards. Congress gave them what they wanted, passing the Durbin Amendment, but consumers never saw those savings. The Richmond Fed reported 98% of retailers actually RAISED PRICES or kept them the same. Home Depot’s Chief Financial Officer Carol Tomé said on an earnings call in 2011 the company could gain $35 million in revenue annually from lower fees. Today, mega-stores are making the same broken promises if Congress passes new credit card routing mandates. THE DURBIN-MARSHALL CREDIT CARD BILL IS A MULTIBILLION-DOLLAR CORPORATE WINDFALL PAID FOR BY AMERICAN CONSUMERS via less secure transactions and a loss of rewards and services.

 
 

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